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Current Win Probability
Loko 67%
Draw 17.9%
Mikhaylov Academy 15.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.8%
17.9%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.5%
19.1%
16.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Loko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Mikhaylov Academy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loko than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhaylov Academy than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Loko - Mikhaylov Academy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
22. Kazantsev Y. (G)
1. Bykov N. (G)
37. Luzanov D.
7. Vatrushkin M. (A)
2. Silayev Y. (A)
77. Semak N.
71. Shchur P.
75. Pavlov M.
28. Filevsky L.
88. Kudinov S. (A)
72. Shlyukov A.
89. Kulagin I.
Line 2
25. Zubov D.
22. Doronin A.
6. Magomedsultanov I. (C)
67. Mudrik Y.
80. Yelezov A.
92. Anuchin N.
11. Porada I.
86. Fedyayev D.
98. Nos I.
91. Vorfolomeyev M.
Line 3
56. Manuilov M.
8. Kharitonov G.
77. Dorogushkin I.
55. Fedorov S. (C)
86. Fomin V.
95. Ryzhkov A.
67. Malkov S.
72. Boyarkin G.
95. Meshkov S. (A)
28. Andreev S.
Line 4
32. Stramilov I.
94. Kuznetsov Y.
97. Kochetkov A.
97. Ambrosov V.
15. Sokol L.
27. Bantyukov D.
10. Malkov N.
17. Guryev V.
Substitutes
87. Frolov A.
30. Levchenko V. (G)
30. Safonov S. (G)
83. Popov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
05:41, 0 - 1, Andreev S. (G), Ryzhkov A. (A), Boyarkin G. (A2)
15:18, 1 - 1, Nos I. (G), Porada I. (A), Yelezov A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
06:37, 2 - 1, Meshkov S. (G), Malkov S. (A), Fomin V. (A2)
07:57, 3 - 1, Shlyukov A. (G), Shchur P. (A), Luzanov D. (A2)
10:56, 4 - 1, Filevsky L. (G), Shchur P. (A), Magomedsultanov I. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loko won 4.
Loko is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Mikhaylov Academy has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Mikhaylov Academy could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Loko has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Mikhaylov Academy has had a run of games away from home.
The betting markets point to Loko as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Loko in today's match, at odds of 1.38.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Loko has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:43 (averaging 3.3:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Loko against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 38:19 goals (averaging 3.5:1.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Loko - the odds 1.38 are the expected chance of winning is 66.82%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.