Match Info

MHL

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Almaz		Loko

	1	X	2
	4.92	4.74	1.52
	4.85	4.65	1.50
	5.83	5.03	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↓ (5.7)	4.81 ↓ (5.3)	1.48 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almaz
17.8%

Draw
19.3%

Loko
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

17.3%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

19%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Loko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loko than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Almaz - Loko Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - under (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Melchakov A. (G)	30. Safonov S. (G)
19. Gusev M.	37. Luzanov D.
77. Fomin M.	2. Silayev Y.
91. Perminov T.	71. Shchur P.
72. Kalinin T. (C)	7. Yemelyanov K. (A)
25. Okunev I.	80. Yelezov A.
Line 2
98. Gulenok T. (A)	25. Zubov D.
92. Konovalov M.	6. Magomedsultanov I. (C)
34. Gaponov L.	15. Sokol L.
44. Bayushev G.	28. Filevsky L.
13. Prishchepa I.	10. Malkov N.
Line 3
41. Korsakov A.	69. Kuznetsov I. A.
43. Kichigin N. (A)	77. Dorogushkin I.
56. Vasiljev G.	72. Shlyukov A.
86. Kopiltsov I.	67. Malkov S.
93. Kalakh M.	95. Meshkov S. (A)
Line 4
96. Zakharov I.	56. Manuilov M.
46. Maslov M.	97. Kochetkov A.
58. Biryukov V.	90. Fedotov S.
74. Kanev V.	86. Fomin V.
Substitutes
36. Lvov S. (G)	47. Beryozkin I.
20. Yurgin S.	22. Kazantsev Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
18:55, 0 - 1, Manuilov M. (G), Meshkov S. (A), Filevsky L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:50, 0 - 2, Luzanov D. (G), Sokol L. (A), Filevsky L. (A2)
14:03, 1 - 2, Kalinin T. (G), Perminov T. (A), Gusev M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
06:08, 2 - 2, Korsakov A. (G), Kalach M. (A), Kalinin T. (A2)
19', 3 - 2, Bayushev G. (G), Okunev I. (A), Gulenok T. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almaz won 1.

Almaz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Loko is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Almaz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Almaz has had a series of away games.

In this match, Loko is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almaz won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 32:76. (average 1.6:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Almaz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:39. (average 1.8:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Loko - the odds 1.38 are the expected chance of winning is 66.56%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almaz Cherepovets
MHL
08.09.26	SKA-Akademiya - Almaz	1:4 ✺
07.09.26	SKA-Akademiya - Almaz	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
01.09.26	Almaz - Loko-76	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Loko-76 - Almaz	5:2 ✺
23.08.26	Dinamo-Shinnik - Almaz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWLW
- HC Loko Yaroslavl
MHL
06.09.26	Loko - Avto	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.26	MHC Spartak - Loko	6:5 ✺
28.08.26	Spartak MAX - Loko	2:3 penalties ✺
26.08.26	Loko - Krylya Sovetov	4:2 ✺
12.08.26	Loko - MHC Dynamo Moscow	N/A
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

MHL
21.03.26	Loko - Almaz	6:2
13.03.26	Almaz - Loko	2:7
28.02.26	Loko - Almaz	7:0
20.02.26	Almaz - Loko	2:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.25	Almaz - Loko	0:5
25.07.25	Loko - Almaz	0:2
MHL
22.03.25	Loko - Almaz	3:1

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