Match Info

SHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Coop Norrbotten Arena (Luleå)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Luleå		Örebro

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.3	4	Watch
	1.78	4.1	3.75
	1.88	3.95	3.7	Watch
	1.79	3.72	3.85
	1.8	3.83	3.95	Watch
	1.75	3.9	3.6
	1.83	4.35	3.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 (1.8)	4.02 ↑ (3.83)	3.8 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luleå
52%

Draw
23.3%

Örebro
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.4%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

25.9%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Örebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Luleå - Örebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Ward M. (G)	1. Enroth J. (G)
3. Allard F.	55. Quenneville D.
29. Gustafsson E. (C)	28. Arnesson L.
24. Shinnimin B.	89. Karlkvist P.
91. O'Neill B. (A)	11. Kossila K.
72. Tardif B.	77. Turunen T.
Line 2
27. Laaksonen O.	7. Martin L.
82. Leskinen O.	5. Backstrom G. (A)
51. Nurmi M.	72. Ylonen J.
96. Andreasson P.	80. Miketinac K.
76. Levtchi A.	21. Puistola P.
Line 3
39. Sjalin P. (A)	6. Berglund F.
32. Engsund O.	9. Nilsson N.
67. Omark L.	23. Polin E.
13. Koivistoinen E.	29. Oscarson M.
86. Brome M.	12. Steen N.
Line 4
8. Hakansson W.	48. Vainio J.
25. Eriksson F.	37. Gustafsson G. (C)
9. Liedes H.	33. Mastomaki C. (A)
6. Hedqvist I.	46. Sjodin S.
Substitutes
15. Granberg D.	31. Arntzen J. (G)
34. Lassinantti J. (G)	17. Wikman W.
Coaches
. Berglund T.	. Eriksson N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
02:59, 0 - 1, Kossila K. (G), Backstrom G. (A), Turunen T. (A2)
06:45, 1 - 1, Levtchi A. (G), Andreasson P. (A), Nurmi M. (A2)
16:09, Berglund F. (2 min),
17:43, 2 - 1, Omark L. (G), Laaksonen O. (A), Levtchi A. (A2)
18:09, 2 - 2, Kossila K. (G), Turunen T. (A), Quenneville D. (A2)
18:35, 3 - 2, Tardif B. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
04:20, Ward M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:58, 4 - 2, Tardif B. (G), O'Neill B. (A), Shinnimin B. (A2)
10:24, Laaksonen O. (2 min),
16:31, Puistola P. (2 min),

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Luleå is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Örebro is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Luleå is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 51:40. (average 2.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Luleå won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:15. (average 2.5:1.4).

Outrights of SHL for now

Lulea: 7.88% Orebro: 2.54%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Lulea	7	3	0	0	4	18:23	9
10	Orebro	7	2	0	2	3	14:20	8

Last Results with these Odds

Luleå - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.93%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luleå HF
SHL
19.03.26	Luleå - Örebro	1:3 ✺
17.03.26	Örebro - Luleå	2:6 ✺
14.03.26	Luleå - Färjestad	1:3 ✺
12.03.26	Luleå - Rögle	2:5 ✺
10.03.26	Linköping - Luleå	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLW
- Örebro HK
SHL
19.03.26	Luleå - Örebro	1:3 ✺
17.03.26	Örebro - Luleå	2:6 ✺
14.03.26	Linköping - Örebro	3:2 OT ✺
12.03.26	Örebro - Brynäs	3:1 ✺
10.03.26	Örebro - Timrå	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
19.03.26	Luleå - Örebro	1:3
17.03.26	Örebro - Luleå	2:6
05.02.26	Luleå - Örebro	5:3
15.01.26	Luleå - Örebro	3:1
20.11.25	Örebro - Luleå	0:3
18.10.25	Örebro - Luleå	3:0
11.03.25	Örebro - Luleå	5:6 OT

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