Match Info

D1 - Round 12

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Lyon		Morzine-Avoriaz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	5.37	4.08	Watch
	1.87	4.45	2.96
	2.1	4.75	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.95)	4.86 ↓ (5)	3.11 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
50.9%

Draw
19.2%

Morzine-Avoriaz
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

17.8%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

17.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lyon's performance.

Morzine-Avoriaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morzine-Avoriaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morzine-Avoriaz than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morzine-Avoriaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lyon - Morzine Avoriaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
3rd Period (2 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Morzine-Avoriaz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 47:37. (average 4.7:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 4.6:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyon HC
French Hockey Cup
25.11.25	Lyon - Briançon	5:3 ✺
French D1 Ice Hockey
22.11.25	Lyon - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes	5:1 ✺
19.11.25	Neuilly-sur-Marne - Lyon	3:2 ✺
15.11.25	Lyon - Dogs de Cholet	1:4 ✺
08.11.25	Strasbourg - Lyon	8:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLLL
- Morzine-Avoriaz
French D1 Ice Hockey
22.11.25	Épinal - Morzine-Avoriaz	3:4 ✺
19.11.25	Morzine-Avoriaz - SOC Hockey sur Glace	2:4 ✺
15.11.25	Morzine-Avoriaz - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes	5:7 ✺
08.11.25	Neuilly-sur-Marne - Morzine-Avoriaz	4:5 penalties ✺
05.11.25	Morzine-Avoriaz - Dogs de Cholet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
26.03.16	Lyon - Morzine-Avoriaz	2:3
19.02.16	Morzine-Avoriaz - Lyon	3:4 OT
23.12.15	Morzine-Avoriaz - Lyon	5:6 penalties
11.12.15	Lyon - Morzine-Avoriaz	8:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.15	Lyon - Morzine-Avoriaz	7:5
French Ligue Magnus
31.01.15	Morzine-Avoriaz - Lyon	7:5
16.11.14	Lyon - Morzine-Avoriaz	3:2

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