Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Round 35

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Meranarena (Merano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Valcome TV


	Merano Junior		Acroni Jesenice

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.95	2.4	Watch
	2.24	4.14	2.5	Watch
	2.23	4.05	2.43
	2.25	3.75	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.29)	3.97 ↓ (4.03)	2.46 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merano Junior
40.5%

Draw
22.8%

Acroni Jesenice
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

22.8%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

24.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merano Junior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Acroni Jesenice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merano Junior than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acroni Jesenice than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Merano Junior - Acroni Jesenice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Bernard A. (G)	33. Us Z. (G)
5. Golser A.	15. Slibar O.
19. Beber P.	88. Zajc M.
73. Nousiainen R.	77. Baloh D.
9. Tomasini P.	72. Burgar N.
15. Mandruzzato G.	10. Jenko J.
Line 2
23. Frick N.	21. Hebar T.
53. Larcher E.	86. Bohinc R.
26. Fuchs J.	84. Slivnik L.
75. Trivellato D.	55. Bohinc M.
13. Gellon D.	22. Svetina E.
Line 3
64. Carissimi E.	69. Oblak M.
7. Sherbinin B.	8. Urukalo Z.
11. Cruseman F.	13. Zalokar G.
14. Stefanson R.	18. Jakupovic A.
20. Claesson S.	20. Koblar G.
Line 4
93. Kuppelwieser P.	26. Adrovic D.
27. Rein N.	5. Pecnik J.
18. Laimer G. S.	7. Marn V.
21. Marinovich M.	97. Sturm J.
Substitutes
25. Vezzali G. (G)	25. Sodja Zalokar T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
02:17, 1 - 0, Frick N. (G), Gellon D. (A), Fuchs J. (A2)
16:07, 2 - 0, Cruseman F. (G), Claesson S. (A), Stefanson R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
10:52, 3 - 0, Sherbinin B. (G), Claesson S. (A), Gellon D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:07, 4 - 0, Trivellato D. (G), Fuchs J. (A), Gellon D. (A2)
15:55, 4 - 1, Slivnik L. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Merano won 1.

Merano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Acroni Jesenice's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Acroni Jesenice has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Merano won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:51. (average 2:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Merano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 3:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
3	Acroni Jesenice	6	5	0	0	0	1	27:13	15
4	Merano	6	4	1	0	0	1	17:13	14

Last Results with these Odds

Merano Junior - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.19%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merano Junior
Alps Hockey League
08.01.26	Merano Junior - Sisak	1:3 ✺
06.01.26	Kitzbühel - Merano Junior	5:4 penalties ✺
04.01.26	Ritten-Renon - Merano Junior	1:2 ✺
02.01.26	Merano Junior - Asiago	2:3 OT ✺
30.12.25	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Merano Junior	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLL
- Acroni Jesenice
Alps Hockey League
08.01.26	Acroni Jesenice - Unterland Cavaliers	3:2 ✺
06.01.26	Acroni Jesenice - Gherdëina	5:6 ✺
04.01.26	Vipiteno - Acroni Jesenice	4:3 ✺
02.01.26	Acroni Jesenice - Sisak	3:0 ✺
28.12.25	Acroni Jesenice - Zell am See	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
14.11.25	Acroni Jesenice - Merano Junior	4:3 penalties
11.10.25	Merano Junior - Acroni Jesenice	3:1
30.01.25	Merano Junior - Acroni Jesenice	2:7
03.01.25	Acroni Jesenice - Merano Junior	3:1
24.10.24	Acroni Jesenice - Merano Junior	9:0
22.02.24	Merano Junior - Acroni Jesenice	4:0
02.02.24	Acroni Jesenice - Merano Junior	6:1

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