The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Merano Junior 24.1%
Draw 20.7%
Red Bull Salzburg 2 55.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.6%
19.3%
60.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.3%
19%
61%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merano Junior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Red Bull Salzburg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merano Junior than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg 2 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Salzburg 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Merano Junior - Red Bull Salzburg 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Bernard A. (G)
45. Ankirchner V. (G)
53. Larcher E.
47. Rebernig A.
7. Sherbinin B.
20. Kirchebner M.
73. Nousiainen R.
24. Lanzinger F.
14. Stefanson R.
7. Wurzer M.
13. Gellon D.
43. Eliseev M.
Line 2
23. Frick N.
22. Baumann F.
27. Rein N.
28. Hackert M.
11. Cruseman F.
12. Kogler L.
20. Claesson S.
15. Gesson A.
15. Mandruzzato G.
25. Schuster P.
Line 3
5. Golser A.
18. Schnabl J.
19. Beber P.
23. Schroth M.
26. Fuchs J.
9. Krainer B.
9. Tomasini P.
26. Bloch N.
75. Trivellato D.
33. Greil L.
Line 4
93. Kuppelwieser P.
64. Carissimi E.
18. Laimer G. S.
21. Marinovich M.
Substitutes
25. Vezzali G. (G)
30. Haitzmann L. (G)
39. Heimel T.
11. Oberhauser P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
08:59, 0 - 1, Schuster P. (G), Eliseev M. (A), Wurzer M. (A2)
10:18, 1 - 1, Stefanson R. (G), Nousiainen R. (A), Gellon D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:41, 2 - 1, Cruseman F. (G), Stefanson R. (A), Sherbinin B. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:34, 2 - 2, Eliseev M. (G), Gesson A. (A), Schnabl J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, (Penalty Shot),
1, (Penalty Shot),
2, Claesson S. (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Merano won 3.
Recent performances by Merano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Salzburg 2 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Salzburg 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Salzburg 2 is the team to beat.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Merano won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:55. (average 2.3:4.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Merano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 2.2:4.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Merano Junior - the odds 4.48 are the expected chance of winning is 20.55%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Bernard A. (G) 
Ankirchner V. (G) 
Rebernig A. 
Sherbinin B. 
Nousiainen R. 
Cruseman F. 
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