Match Info

NCAA

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Merrimack Warriors		Massachusetts Minutemen

	1	X	2
	2.15	4	2.6
	2.15	4.31	2.56
	2.17	3.95	2.6
	2.1	3.85	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.16)	4.03 ↓ (4.13)	2.59 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merrimack Warriors
42.4%

Draw
22.5%

Massachusetts Minutemen
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

22.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

22.6%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Merrimack Warriors have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Massachusetts Minutemen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Massachusetts Minutemen than the current prediction. (+1%)

Merrimack Warriors - Massachusetts Minutemen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
3rd Period (0 - 2)

Preview

Merrimack is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Massachusetts has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Massachusetts may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Merrimack has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Merrimack will win today's game, with odds of 2.16.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Merrimack won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 2.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Merrimack won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Massachusetts Minutemen: 1.91% Merrimack Warriors: 1.66%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merrimack Warriors hockey
NCAA Hockey
10.01.26	Holy Cross Crusaders - Merrimack Warriors	2:5 ✺
03.01.26	Brown Bears - Merrimack Warriors	2:3 ✺
29.12.25	Vermont Catamounts - Merrimack Warriors	4:5 ✺
12.12.25	Merrimack Warriors - Yale Bulldogs	4:1 ✺
21.11.25	Long Island Sharks - Merrimack Warriors	2:6
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW
- Massachusetts Minutemen hockey
NCAA Hockey
10.01.26	Boston University Terriers - Massachusetts Minutemen	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Massachusetts Minutemen - Boston University Terriers	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Northeastern Huskies - Massachusetts Minutemen	0:2
06.12.25	Northeastern Huskies - Massachusetts Minutemen	3:2 OT ✺
22.11.25	Massachusetts Minutemen - Providence Friars	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
02.02.24	Merrimack Warriors - Massachusetts Minutemen	2:3
13.01.24	Merrimack Warriors - Massachusetts Minutemen	4:1
12.01.24	Massachusetts Minutemen - Merrimack Warriors	4:3
07.12.22	Massachusetts Minutemen - Merrimack Warriors	1:2

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