Match Info

VHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Metallurgs Sports Palace (Novokuznetsk)


	Metallurg Novokuznetsk		CSK VVS Samara

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.4	4.4
	1.67	4.4	4.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	4.4 ↓ (4.45)	4.28 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
56.6%

Draw
21.4%

CSK VVS Samara
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

21.1%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

21.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

CSK VVS Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - CSK VVS Samara Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Metallurg N will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)	71. Popov D. (G)
77. Vinogradov A.	89. Karpov A.
75. Starikov L.	8. Gorbunov K.
24. Khrapov F.	94. Anop D.
43. Verba M.	32. Barabanov V.
33. Shablovsky Z.	13. Demchenko V.
Line 2
54. Chibrikov I.	96. Ganabin Y.
8. Naumov V.	47. Morozov Y.
10. Sheshin D.	75. Dyadenkin D.
89. Guslistov N.	63. Groshev Y.
88. Shalagin M.	23. Chervonenko V.
Line 3
9. Belov D.	64. Belousov M.
46. Berezin M.	17. Kalabushkin E.
17. Sokolov D.	73. Kaletnik V.
40. Apalkov D.	68. Gogolev P.
59. Perevalov A.	52. Grishakov A.
Line 4
71. Grzheletsky M.	98. Shumilov V.
51. Mineyev M.	87. Borodin D.
18. Serdyuk Y.	33. Aliyev R.
50. Kurbatov V.	11. Mustafin R.
61. Gorshkov A.
Substitutes
94. Bogdanov N. (G)	88. Ustimenko K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
18:05, 0 - 1, Gogolev P. (G), Grishakov A. (A), Kaletnik V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:58, 1 - 1, Gorshkov A. (G), Serdyuk Y. (A), Vinogradov A. (A2)
15:36, 1 - 2, Dyadenkin D. (G), Morozov Y. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
13:32, 1 - 3, Kaletnik V. (G), Gorbunov K. (A),

Preview

Metallurg Novokuznetsk (VHL) leads series 3-1. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 4.

Metallurg N is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

CSK VVS's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

CSK VVS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Metallurg N is the team to beat.

We predict that Metallurg N will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 64:40. (average 3.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:24. (average 3.7:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	13	7	0	3	3	24:14	17
25	CSK VVS	16	3	1	1	11	31:56	9

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.37%, but this team recently wins 87% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
29.03.26	CSK VVS Samara - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
27.03.26	CSK VVS Samara - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:2 ✺
24.03.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - CSK VVS Samara	5:3 ✺
22.03.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - CSK VVS Samara	1:0 OT ✺
16.03.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Norilsk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW
- CSK VVS Samara
VHL
29.03.26	CSK VVS Samara - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
27.03.26	CSK VVS Samara - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:2 ✺
24.03.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - CSK VVS Samara	5:3 ✺
22.03.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - CSK VVS Samara	1:0 OT ✺
18.03.26	CSK VVS Samara - Rubin Tyumen	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
29.03.26	CSK VVS Samara - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3
27.03.26	CSK VVS Samara - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:2
24.03.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - CSK VVS Samara	5:3
22.03.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - CSK VVS Samara	1:0 OT
25.12.25	CSK VVS Samara - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:1 penalties
26.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - CSK VVS Samara	3:0
27.02.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - CSK VVS Samara	6:4

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