Match Info
VHLDate: 16 March 2026, MondayLocation: Kuznetsk Metallurgists (Novokuznetsk)
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Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
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Norilsk |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.42 |
5.57 |
5.5 |
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1.42 |
5.46 |
5.56 |
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.53) |
5.52 ↑
(4.2) |
5.53 ↓
(5.59) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
66% | Draw
17% | Norilsk
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metallurg Novokuznetsk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Norilsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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73.  Podskrebalin N. (G)
| 37. Botov M. (G)
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47. Churkin V.
| 98. Abdeyev I.
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75. Starikov L.
| 82. Bulychyov G.
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21.  Kodola V.
| 63. Yemets I.
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40. Apalkov D. (C)
| 92. Yakovlev Y. (A)
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61. Gorshkov A. (A)
| 71. Golodnyuk S. (A)
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| Line 2 |
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8. Naumov V.
| 18. Alexeyev D.
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77. Vinogradov A.
| 44. Kovalev I.
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97. Ovchinnikov D.
| 7. Kirileichenko M.
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43. Verba M. (A)
| 10. Lipanov A.
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88. Shalagin M.
| 56. Mokin N. (C)
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| Line 3 |
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51. Mineyev M.
| 21. Kolomiytsev I.
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46. Berezin M.
| 64. Minayev Y.
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17. Sokolov D.
| 69. Skorikov D.
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24. Khrapov F.
| 58. Yadykin Y.
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10. Sheshin D.
| 81. Barinov S.
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| Line 4 |
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9. Belov D.
| 3. Kudryashov I.
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18. Serdyuk Y.
| 99. Kandakov D.
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89. Guslistov N.
| 86. Melnichenko K.
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59. Perevalov A.
| 14. Sinyatkin S.
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| Substitutes |
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94. Bogdanov N. (G)
| 45. Nikitin V. (G)
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71. Grzheletsky M.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 00:39, 1 - 0, Khrapov F. (G), Starikov L. (A),
- 18:33, 2 - 0, Guslistov N. (G), Perevalov A. (A), Serdyuk Y. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 05:43, 2 - 1, Golodnyuk S. (G), Yakovlev Y. (A), Kovalev I. (A2)
- 10:17, 3 - 1, Gorshkov A. (G), Ovchinnikov D. (A), Serdyuk Y. (A2)
- 19:51, 4 - 1, Shalagin M. (G),
Preview
Metallurg N is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 4.Metallurg N has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).Norilsk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Metallurg N may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games. In this match, Metallurg N is the clear favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 3:2.2).Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 3.5:3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 5 | HC Norilsk | 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 32:32 | 18 |
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| 10 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 12 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 22:14 | 15 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| VHL | | | 06.09.25 | Norilsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 4:5 | | Club Friendly Ice Hockey | | | 25.08.25 | Norilsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 1:3 | | VHL | | | 15.12.24 | Norilsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 0:2 | | 02.12.24 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Norilsk | 5:3 | | 14.01.24 | Norilsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 2:1 penalties | | 09.10.23 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Norilsk | 2:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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