Match Info

WCH IIIA

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Ice Station (Cape Town)


	Mexico		South Africa

	1	X	2
	1.74	4.95	2.95
	1.67	5	3.5
	1.55	5.15	4.07	Watch
	1.53	4.5	4
	1.62	4.8	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.32)	4.88 ↑ (4.27)	3.64 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexico
56.2%

Draw
18.7%

South Africa
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

20.9%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mexico's performance.

South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Africa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Mexico - South Africa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
02:56, 1 - 0, Majul H. (G), Cuellar D. (A),
13:43, 2 - 0, Majul H. (G), Cuellar D. (A), Valencia L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
06:21, 2 - 1, van der Merwe D. (G), Bremner G. (A), Kluyts Paulus (A2)
12:29, 2 - 2, Bate J. (G), Kluyts Paulus (A),
13:44, 3 - 2, Chavez-Leech T. (G), Apud A. (A), Gamez R. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
00:57, 3 - 3, van Doesburgh J. (G), Magmoed D. (A), Samaai U. (A2)
02:44, 3 - 4, van der Merwe D. (G), Phakathi D. (A),
18:37, 4 - 4, Majul H. (G),
Overtime (1 - 0)
02', 5 - 4, Valencia L. (G), Majul H. (A),

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Standings

2025

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	South Africa	5	1	0	1	3	12:24	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico hockey
IIHF World Championship IIIB
30.04.25	Mexico - Singapore	18:1 ✺
28.04.25	Mexico - Philippines	9:1 ✺
IIHF World Championship IIIA
16.03.24	Mexico - Turkmenistan	4:8 ✺
14.03.24	Kyrgyzstan - Mexico	9:4 ✺
13.03.24	Mexico - Luxembourg	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WWLLL
- South Africa hockey
IIHF World Championship IIIA
27.04.25	Turkmenistan - South Africa	6:5 OT ✺
25.04.25	South Africa - Luxembourg	2:4 ✺
24.04.25	Turkey - South Africa	7:0 ✺
22.04.25	South Africa - Bosnia and Herzegovina	3:2 ✺
21.04.25	Kyrgyzstan - South Africa	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship IIB
13.04.15	Mexico - South Africa	4:1
11.04.14	Mexico - South Africa	3:1

Mexico - South Africa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide