Match Info

NHL

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday

Location: Grand Casino Arena (Saint Paul, MN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN USA, ESPN+, MSG Sportsnet, MSG, NESN
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Minnesota Wild		Vegas Golden Knights

	1	X	2
	2.35	4.1	2.45	Watch
	2.35	4.00	2.50
	2.42	4.05	2.6
	2.42	4.17	2.52
	2.46	4.19	2.43	Watch
	2.4	4.15	2.5
	2.47	4.26	2.56
	2.39	4.1	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.66)	4.13 ↓ (4.2)	2.5 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota Wild
39.3%

Draw
22.9%

Vegas Golden Knights
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

23.1%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

22.2%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Wild than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Minnesota Wild - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.

Minnesota has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Vegas is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Minnesota has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Minnesota: Faber B. (Head Injury) Foligno N. (Upper-Body Injury) Gustavsson F. (Hip Injury).

Confirmed absences for Vegas: Olofsson V. (Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Minnesota: Bogosian Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Foligno M. (Lower-Body Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:67 (averaging 2.8:3.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Minnesota against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 24:30 goals (averaging 2.4:3 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Vegas Golden Knights: 7.13% Minnesota Wild: 5.55%

Last Results with these Odds

Minnesota Wild - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 36.47%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Vegas Golden Knights - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 40.43%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota Wild
NHL
10.10.26	Florida Panthers - Minnesota Wild	1:4 ✺
08.10.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Minnesota Wild	3:2 ✺
06.10.26	Buffalo Sabres - Minnesota Wild	3:2 OT ✺
03.10.26	Minnesota Wild - Boston Bruins	4:1 ✺
01.10.26	Nashville Predators - Minnesota Wild	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLWW
- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
10.10.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Los Angeles Kings	2:1 OT ✺
08.10.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs	4:3 penalties ✺
06.10.26	Seattle Kraken - Vegas Golden Knights	2:6 ✺
04.10.26	Vancouver Canucks - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3 ✺
02.10.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Anaheim Ducks	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
06.03.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Minnesota Wild	2:4
29.12.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Minnesota Wild	2:5
16.11.25	Minnesota Wild - Vegas Golden Knights	3:2 OT
01.05.25	Minnesota Wild - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3
29.04.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Minnesota Wild	3:2 OT
26.04.25	Minnesota Wild - Vegas Golden Knights	3:4 OT
24.04.25	Minnesota Wild - Vegas Golden Knights	5:2

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