The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Lightning 45.1%
Draw 22.5%
Minnesota Wild 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
22.1%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48%
21.6%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Minnesota Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Wild than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Tampa Bay Lightning - Minnesota Wild Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Minnesota will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 50%). Minnesota (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Hildeby D. (G)
30. Wallstedt J. (G)
74. Carlson J.
46. Spurgeon J. (C)
90. Moser J.J.
43. Hughes Q.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
12. Boldy M.
21. Point B.
14. Eriksson Ek J.
93. Goncalves G.
20. Coleman B.
Line 2
81. Cernak E.
25. Brodin J.
27. McDonagh R. (A)
3. Maatta O.
59. Guentzel J.
49. Shabanov M.
71. Cirelli A.
22. Yurov D.
38. Hagel B.
97. Kaprizov K. (A)
Line 3
24. Crozier M.
24. Bogosian Z.
51. D'Astous C.
48. Hunt D.
29. Holmberg P.
10. Brink B.
28. Girgensons Z.
38. Hartman R.
95. Mikheyev I.
17. Foligno M. (A)
Line 4
77. Hedman V. (C)
78. Sturm N.
14. Geekie C.
47. McCarron M.
25. Truchon-Viel J.
13. Trenin Y.
Substitutes
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
31. Pickard C. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.
. Hynes J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
05:26, 1 - 0, Cirelli A. (G), Cernak E. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
06:02, 2 - 0, Carlson J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Point B. (A2)
12:34, Brodin J. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:32, 2 - 1, Hughes Q. (G), Brink B. (A), Spurgeon J. (A2)
04:02, McCarron M. (2 min),
04:55, 3 - 1, Carlson J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
08:11, Crozier M. (2 min),
12:27, Holmberg P. (2 min),
14:01, 3 - 2, Coleman B. (G), Kaprizov K. (A), Hughes Q. (A2)
14:52, Bogosian Z. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Tampa Bay may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tampa Bay holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Tampa Bay: Gourde Y.
(Hip Injury)
James D.
(Broken Hand)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Minnesota: Faber B.
(Head Injury)
Gustavsson F.
(Hip Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Minnesota: Foligno N.
(Upper-Body Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Tampa Bay in today's match, at odds of 2.06.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tampa Bay has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:63 (averaging 2.9:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tampa Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 38:27 goals (averaging 3.8:2.7 per game).
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Hildeby D. (G) 
Carlson J. 
Spurgeon J. (C) 
Moser J.J. 
Kucherov N. (A) 
Cernak E. 
Maatta O. 
Girgensons Z. 
Sturm N. 
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