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Current Win Probability
Modo 56.2%
Draw 20.9%
BIK Karlskoga 23%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.2%
21.3%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
22.1%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modo's performance.
BIK Karlskoga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BIK Karlskoga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modo than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Modo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BIK Karlskoga than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BIK Karlskoga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Modo - BIK Karlskoga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Werner A. (G)
1. Lindbom O. (G)
51. Berglund V.
8. Olvestad L.
28. Rosen E.
9. Teravainen E.
17. Hermansson E.
14. Bjorklund H. (A)
70. Bourke T.
12. Thorell G. (C)
10. Jutting J.
17. Blaisdell H.
Line 2
71. Yoon B.
78. Kayhko O.
23. Wahlberg O.
90. Olsen R.
19. Karlsson E.
10. Treloar T.
18. Nassen L.
71. Pastujov N.
26. Larsson E. (C)
48. Golder C.
Line 3
5. Berg A. (A)
22. Lang V.
34. Hallin H.
4. Leandersson A. (A)
27. Lundmark A.
41. Emanuelsson J.
20. Caderoth A.
15. Franzen G. (A)
25. Mattsson C.
21. Holmertz O.
Line 4
55. Kyrkjeeide Oversveen P.
20. Westlund W.
12. Pettersson O. (A)
44. Harju J.
15. Bjerselius J.
27. Sjokvist T.
36. Ohlsson S. (A)
19. Hermansson J.
Substitutes
38. Falkenhall W.
39. Jacobsson C. (G)
30. Hellsten J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
09:12, 1 - 0, Berg A. (G), Hallin H. (A), Nassen L. (A2)
15:37, 2 - 0, Mattsson C. (G), Lundmark A. (A), Caderoth A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
06:11, 3 - 0, Hermansson E. (G), Bourke T. (A),
08:10, 3 - 1, Hermansson J. (G),
14:21, 3 - 2, Golder C. (G), Pastujov N. (A), Kayhko O. (A2)
19:48, 4 - 2, Ohlsson S. (G), Pettersson O. (A), Yoon B. (A2)
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion - HockeyAllsvenskan Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 10th in the Promotion - HockeyAllsvenskan Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modo won 2.
In recent outings, Modo has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Karlskoga has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Recently, Modo has faced a series of away games on the road.
Modo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Modo in today's match, at odds of 1.89.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Modo has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:53 (averaging 2.4:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Modo against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 25:20 goals (averaging 2.8:2.2 per game).