Match Info

SWEDEN: SHL - Play Out - Final

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hägglunds Arena (Örnsköldsvik) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+


	Modo		HV71

	1	X	2
	2.35	4	2.8
	2.15	4	2.75
	2.27	3.9	2.75	Watch
	2.38	3.85	2.61	Watch
	2.2	3.75	2.5
	2.3	4.15	2.57	Watch
	2.27	3.9	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.17)	3.94 ↓ (4.01)	2.68 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modo
41.2%

Draw
23.8%

HV71
35%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43%

23.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

23%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

HV71 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HV71 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Modo - HV71 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Lehtinen L. (G)	80. Dichow F. (G)
6. LaDue P.	44. Fransson H.
23. Winberg T.	38. Alsing O. (C)
38. Sodergran J.	27. Ang J.
32. Niederbach T.	24. Fisker Molgaard O.
10. Ranta S.	75. Lenc R.
Line 2
51. Berglund V.	18. LaLeggia J.
27. Norlinder M.	74. Day S.
29. Aagaard M. (A)	20. Petersson A.
25. Vigneault S.	39. Reber J.
17. Woods R.	46. Luoto J. (A)
Line 3
2. Rundblad D. (C)	55. Seppala M.
40. Bernhardt D.	32. Engsund O. (A)
24. Carlsson M.	40. Stal-Lyrenas O.
86. Jasek L.	16. Kero T.
36. Ohlsson S.	17. Brannstrom I.
Line 4
14. Noren J.	29. Hallquisth W.
12. Pettersson O.	71. Nilsson W.
11. True A.	26. Tikka T.
13. Benson T.	21. Tedenby M.
Substitutes
31. Eriksson Ek O. (G)	35. Glifford O. (G)
1. Lundberg E. (G)	9. Pettersson H.
92. Olofsson J. (A)
Coaches
. Karlin M.	. Blomqvist A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
05:44, Carlsson M. (5 min),
07:05, 0 - 1, Petersson A. (G), LaLeggia J. (A), Ang J. (A2)
10:13, 0 - 2, Reber J. (G), Luoto J. (A), LaLeggia J. (A2)
10:50, 0 - 3, Fisker Molgaard O. (G), Stal-Lyrenas O. (A), Brannstrom I. (A2)
11:34, Petersson A. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
03:06, Nilsson W. (2 min),
03:06, Winberg T. (2 min),
06:49, Norlinder M. (2 min),
20:00, Lenc R. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:16, Vigneault S. (2 min),
09:42, Pettersson O. (2 min),
09:42, Tikka T. (2 min),
14:26, 0 - 4, Nilsson W. (G), Luoto J. (A),

Preview

5th leg. Series tied 2-2.

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone SHL (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone SHL (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Modo won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Modo won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 53:48 (average 2.7:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Modo won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 35:20 (average 3.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

HV71 - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.64%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Modo Hockey
SHL
21.03.25	HV71 - Modo	4:3 OT ✺
19.03.25	HV71 - Modo	5:0 ✺
16.03.25	Modo - HV71	3:2 ✺
14.03.25	Modo - HV71	4:2 ✺
11.03.25	Skellefteå - Modo	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWL
- HV71
SHL
21.03.25	HV71 - Modo	4:3 OT ✺
19.03.25	HV71 - Modo	5:0 ✺
16.03.25	Modo - HV71	3:2 ✺
14.03.25	Modo - HV71	4:2 ✺
11.03.25	HV71 - Linköping	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
21.03.25	HV71 - Modo	4:3 OT
19.03.25	HV71 - Modo	5:0
16.03.25	Modo - HV71	3:2
14.03.25	Modo - HV71	4:2
04.03.25	Modo - HV71	1:3
28.01.25	HV71 - Modo	1:5
28.11.24	Modo - HV71	2:4

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