The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mogo 51.8%
Draw 20.9%
Kyiv Capitals 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.5%
21.5%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
23.7%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mogo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Kyiv Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mogo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyiv Capitals than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Mogo - Kyiv Capitals Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
37. Mezsargs K. (G)
36. Molder C. (G)
44. Aunins D.
69. Andreykiv V.
25. Bergs M.
15. Baida I.
24. Berzins R.
10. Brants H.
14. Biskins A.
92. Cipruss R.
16. Daugavins K.
81. Honcharenko D.
9. Grinbergs R.
2. Jansons E. H.
2. Jakobsons K.
13. Korenchuk I. (A)
86. Kalkis R.
17. Kovalchuk M.
26. Krums E.
71. Morozov F.
18. Locmelis I.
42. Rautiala V.
87. Meija G. (C)
27. Romanyshyn A.
72. Pogins P.
77. Sarkanis D. (A)
92. Polcs R.
56. Siekkinen J.
15. Skrastins K.
44. Sprukts G. (C)
11. Sotnieks K. (A)
19. Stradnieks K.
23. Vasiljevs R.
21. Svars P.
57. Zaicevs V.
38. Tsarkovskyi D.
17. Zelubovskis E. (A)
20. Zelts K.
21. Zemitis J.
12. Zukauskas L.
69. Ziemins K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
06:56, 1 - 0, Polcs R. (G), Berzins R. (A), Grinbergs R. (A2)
09:06, 2 - 0, Zemitis J. (G), Zaicevs V. (A),
18:27, 2 - 1, Kovalchuk M. (G), Morozov F. (A), Romanyshyn A. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
00:58, 3 - 1, Grinbergs R. (G), Krums E. (A), Zemitis J. (A2)
03:14, 4 - 1, Ziemins K. (G), Zelubovskis E. (A), Biskins A. (A2)
06:25, 4 - 2, Korenchuk I. (G), Sprukts G. (A), Stradnieks K. (A2)
13:35, 5 - 2, Meija G. (G), Skrastins K. (A), Zaicevs V. (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 0)
02:00, 6 - 2, Polcs R. (G), Ziemins K. (A), Zelubovskis E. (A2)
14:34, 7 - 2, Ziemins K. (G), Zelubovskis E. (A), Berzins R. (A2)
16:08, 8 - 2, Daugavins K. (G), Jakobsons K. (A), Skrastins K. (A2)
16:47, 9 - 2, Grinbergs R. (G), Krums E. (A), Zemitis J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mogo won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Kyiv Capitals could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Kyiv Capitals has had a run of games away from home.
Mogo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Mogo has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 42:27 (averaging 3.8:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mogo against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 27:14 goals (averaging 4.5:2.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Mogo
9
8
0
1
0
50:12
17
2
Kyiv Capitals
8
7
0
0
1
43:16
14
Last Results with these Odds
Mogo - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 50.5%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.