The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mora 45.5%
Draw 22.8%
Södertälje 31.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.6%
24%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
25.6%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mora's performance.
Södertälje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mora than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mora that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Södertälje than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Södertälje could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mora - Södertälje Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
57. Breivold T. (G)
73. Harenstam L. (G)
18. Thomsson T.
74. Carell F.
4. Noren J.
27. Norbe D. (A)
27. Larsson H. (A)
91. Vanderbeck A.
71. Giroux D. (A)
19. Muzito-Bagenda D. (A)
77. Mosley R.
18. Souch C.
Line 2
16. Karlstrom M. (C)
82. Laavainen R.
8. Udd A.
4. Nilsson N.
26. Elvsveen P.
20. Loimaranta V.
46. Sjodin S.
16. Ikonen J.
19. Tarnstrom O.
49. Lantz P.
Line 3
50. Ekberg T.
44. Arell N. (C)
6. Kopperstad V.
5. Lundgren J.
34. Juntorp N.
28. Hesselvall A.
22. Salqvist I.
9. Harlestam H. (A)
91. Umegard K.
17. Salmi-Lilja G.
Line 4
23. Skiold A.
71. Olsson G.
13. Milfors L.
12. Dani A.
20. Weigelt G. (A)
88. Holst-Persson F.
41. Aase-Stensland T.
Substitutes
31. Hellgren M. (G)
35. Munther T. (G)
43. Karlsson O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
02:42, 0 - 1, Olsson G. (G), Arell N. (A), Lundgren J. (A2)
04:38, 0 - 2, Lantz P. (G),
18:18, 1 - 2, Larsson H. (G), Karlstrom M. (A), Tarnstrom O. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
09:14, 2 - 2, Tarnstrom O. (G), Karlstrom M. (A), Larsson H. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
15:17, 2 - 3, Salmi-Lilja G. (G), Olsson G. (A), Laavainen R. (A2)
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7th in the Promotion - HockeyAllsvenskan Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 5th in the Promotion - HockeyAllsvenskan Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mora won 2.
Mora is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Södertälje have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mora has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:46 (averaging 2.7:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mora against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 27:14 goals (averaging 3:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Sodertalje
15
8
1
2
4
48:35
28
7
Mora
15
6
0
3
6
43:36
21
Outrights of Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan for now
Sodertalje: 13.97% Mora: 1.55%
Last Results with these Odds
Södertälje - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.39%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.