Match Info

D1 - Round 26

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Morzine-Avoriaz		Lyon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.18	5.05	1.74	Watch
	2.18	4.35	2.38
	2.15	4.75	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.08)	4.72 ↓ (4.9)	2.12 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morzine-Avoriaz
36.9%

Draw
19.6%

Lyon
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

18.6%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

19.6%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morzine-Avoriaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morzine-Avoriaz's form might have worsened.

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lyon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morzine-Avoriaz than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4%)

Morzine Avoriaz - Lyon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morzine-Avoriaz won 1.

Morzine-Avoriaz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lyon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Morzine-Avoriaz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Morzine-Avoriaz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 38:53. (average 3.5:4.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Morzine-Avoriaz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 3.8:4.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Morzine-Avoriaz	1	1	0	0	0	5:3	3
6	Lyon	2	1	0	0	1	6:5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morzine-Avoriaz
French D1 Ice Hockey
07.02.26	Morzine-Avoriaz - Épinal	7:4 ✺
04.02.26	SOC Hockey sur Glace - Morzine-Avoriaz	2:3 OT ✺
31.01.26	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - Morzine-Avoriaz	3:4 ✺
24.01.26	Morzine-Avoriaz - Neuilly-sur-Marne	4:2 ✺
21.01.26	Dogs de Cholet - Morzine-Avoriaz	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWL
- Lyon HC
French D1 Ice Hockey
07.02.26	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - Lyon	2:10 ✺
03.02.26	Lyon - Neuilly-sur-Marne	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Lyon - Strasbourg	6:7 OT ✺
20.01.26	Drakkars de Caen - Lyon	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	Lyon - HCMP	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French D1 Ice Hockey
29.11.25	Lyon - Morzine-Avoriaz	6:1
French Ligue Magnus
26.03.16	Lyon - Morzine-Avoriaz	2:3
19.02.16	Morzine-Avoriaz - Lyon	3:4 OT
23.12.15	Morzine-Avoriaz - Lyon	5:6 penalties
11.12.15	Lyon - Morzine-Avoriaz	8:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.15	Lyon - Morzine-Avoriaz	7:5
French Ligue Magnus
31.01.15	Morzine-Avoriaz - Lyon	7:5

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