Match Info

D1 - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lyon		HCMP

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	5.64	4.4
	1.36	5	5.5
	1.48	5.05	4.47
	1.44	6.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 (1.44)	5.49 ↓ (6.25)	4.53 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
63.4%

Draw
16.6%

HCMP
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.9%

14.3%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

15.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

HCMP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HCMP than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HCMP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lyon - HCMP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 1)

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Lyon is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Lyon	5	3	1	0	1	17:12	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyon HC
French D1 Ice Hockey
13.01.26	Meudon - Lyon	2:3 ✺
10.01.26	Lyon - Villard-de-Lans	1:4 ✺
03.01.26	Corsaires de Dunkerque - Lyon	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Yétis du Mont-Blanc - Lyon	4:5 ✺
French Hockey Cup
16.12.25	Lyon - Drakkars de Caen	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWL
- Hockey Courchevel Méribel Pralognan
French D1 Ice Hockey
13.01.26	HCMP - Épinal	7:6 ✺
10.01.26	Morzine-Avoriaz - HCMP	5:2 ✺
03.01.26	HCMP - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes	3:4 OT ✺
20.12.25	Neuilly-sur-Marne - HCMP	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	HCMP - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLLWL

Lyon - HCMP