Match Info

Tipsport liga - Round 54

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	JOJ Play


	MsHK Žilina		Spišská Nová Ves

	1	X	2
	1.39	5.5	5.5
	1.52	4.7	4.85
	1.42	5.18	4.82
	1.46	5.23	5.12	Watch
	1.44	4.6	5
	1.45	4.8	5.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.81)	5 ↑ (4.45)	5.09 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MsHK Žilina
63.6%

Draw
18.4%

Spišská Nová Ves
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

20.9%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

22.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MsHK Žilina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MsHK Žilina's performance.

Spišská Nová Ves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spišská Nová Ves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MsHK Žilina than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MsHK Žilina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spišská Nová Ves than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spišská Nová Ves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

MsHK Žilina - Spišská Nová Ves Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Žilina will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Žilina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Spišská Nová Ves (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Žilina (votes: 1 - 50%). Spišská Nová Ves (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Rychlik R. (G)	30. Godla D. (G)
48. Gachulinec D.	6. Romanak D. (C)
95. Holenda M.	5. Toth D.
9. Senyshyn Z.	8. Savoie C.
38. Korczak R.	20. Will L.
39. Ranford B.	96. Giroux D. (A)
Line 2
7. Pobezal J.	42. Karaffa R.
16. Miller B.	48. Barcik S.
89. Tkac D.	91. Dzugan R.
21. Walega K.	88. Palocko M.
10. Mucha M.	24. Stevuliak P.
Line 3
24. Korencik M.	7. Sluka M.
4. Chicoine G.	33. Groch S. (A)
92. Kolenic J.	44. Gonda P.
34. Balaz J.	37. Baco R.
27. Dej R.	17. Suty M.
Line 4
15. Vajko T.	22. Frankovic M.
17. Juscak M.	77. Kral V.
87. Stefanik A.	10. Stas V.
12. Betak S.	90. Viedensky M.
	16. Gilak M.
Substitutes
29. Kosaristan A. (G)	31. Midlik A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
13:55, 0 - 1, Palocko M. (G), Dzugan R. (A), Stevuliak P. (A2)
14:03, 1 - 1, Korczak R. (G), Ranford B. (A), Chicoine G. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
10:34, 2 - 1, Korczak R. (G), Dej R. (A), Chicoine G. (A2)
10:49, 2 - 2, Stas V. (G), Viedensky M. (A), Gilak M. (A2)
19:43, 3 - 2, Balaz J. (G), Kolenic J. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
08:25, 4 - 2, Walega K. (G), Miller B. (A), Mucha M. (A2)
16:52, 5 - 2, Ranford B. (G), Kolenic J. (A), Chicoine G. (A2)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tipsport liga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Tipsport liga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Žilina is Qualified for Tipsport liga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Spišská Nová Ves is Qualified for Tipsport liga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žilina won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Žilina is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Žilina will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žilina won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 53:44. (average 2.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Žilina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:29. (average 2.9:2.6).

Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now

Zilina: 13.29% Spisska Nova Ves: 7.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Spisska Nova Ves	9	5	2	0	2	33:23	19
4	Zilina	9	5	0	2	2	30:18	17

Last Results with these Odds

MsHK Žilina - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.27%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MsHK Žilina
Slovak Extraliga
06.03.26	HC Košice - MsHK Žilina	4:3 penalties ✺
01.03.26	MsHK Žilina - Dukla Michalovce	2:1 OT ✺
27.02.26	Liptovský Mikuláš - MsHK Žilina	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	MsHK Žilina - Slovan Bratislava	3:2 OT ✺
20.02.26	HC Dukla Trenčín - MsHK Žilina	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWW
- HK Spišská Nová Ves
Slovak Extraliga
06.03.26	Spišská Nová Ves - Banská Bystrica	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Prešov - Spišská Nová Ves	0:4 ✺
27.02.26	Spišská Nová Ves - Zvolen	2:4 ✺
22.02.26	Nitra - Spišská Nová Ves	5:3 ✺
20.02.26	Spišská Nová Ves - Poprad	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
30.01.26	Spišská Nová Ves - MsHK Žilina	2:1 OT
23.11.25	MsHK Žilina - Spišská Nová Ves	1:2
12.10.25	Spišská Nová Ves - MsHK Žilina	1:5
12.02.25	MsHK Žilina - Spišská Nová Ves	8:0
30.12.24	Spišská Nová Ves - MsHK Žilina	2:3
18.12.24	MsHK Žilina - Spišská Nová Ves	1:3
01.12.24	Spišská Nová Ves - MsHK Žilina	3:1

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