Match Info

D1 - Round 26

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Nantes		Neuilly-sur-Marne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	4.63	2.3	Watch
	2.33	4	2.33
	2.15	4.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.27)	4.38 ↓ (4.58)	2.31 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
40.1%

Draw
20.7%

Neuilly-sur-Marne
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

19.9%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

21.2%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Neuilly-sur-Marne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neuilly-sur-Marne than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Nantes - Neuilly sur Marne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
3rd Period (1 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3.

Nantes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Neuilly-sur-Marne's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 4.2:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Nantes	2	1	0	1	0	5:3	4
4	Neuilly Sur Marne	2	1	0	1	0	9:9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Neuilly-sur-Marne - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantes Atlantique Hockey Glace
French D1 Ice Hockey
07.02.26	Dogs de Cholet - Nantes	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Nantes - Strasbourg	2:3 OT ✺
31.01.26	Drakkars de Caen - Nantes	2:3 OT ✺
24.01.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3 penalties ✺
20.01.26	Meudon - Nantes	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWLW
- HC Neuilly-sur-Marne 93
French D1 Ice Hockey
07.02.26	Neuilly-sur-Marne - Tours	4:3 ✺
03.02.26	Lyon - Neuilly-sur-Marne	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Neuilly-sur-Marne - Épinal	1:7 ✺
24.01.26	Morzine-Avoriaz - Neuilly-sur-Marne	4:2 ✺
21.01.26	Neuilly-sur-Marne - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French D1 Ice Hockey
29.11.25	Neuilly-sur-Marne - Nantes	5:3
04.03.25	Neuilly-sur-Marne - Nantes	4:1
11.12.24	Nantes - Neuilly-sur-Marne	4:1
24.01.24	Neuilly-sur-Marne - Nantes	3:9
10.04.21	Neuilly-sur-Marne - Nantes	4:5
11.03.20	Nantes - Neuilly-sur-Marne	3:2

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