Match Info

D1 - Play Out - Final

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Nantes		HCMP

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	4.8	2.9
	1.74	4.55	3.42	Watch
	1.67	4.2	3.5
	1.71	4.3	3.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)	4.46 ↓ (4.59)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
52.4%

Draw
20.4%

HCMP
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

19.8%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

21.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

HCMP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HCMP than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Nantes - HCMP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
Overtime (1 - 0)

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nantes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 3.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 2:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Nantes	2	1	0	1	0	5:3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantes Atlantique Hockey Glace
French D1 Ice Hockey
19.03.26	HCMP - Nantes	2:6 ✺
18.03.26	HCMP - Nantes	3:5 ✺
14.03.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3 ✺
13.03.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Nantes - Lyon	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLLL
- Hockey Courchevel Méribel Pralognan
French D1 Ice Hockey
19.03.26	HCMP - Nantes	2:6 ✺
18.03.26	HCMP - Nantes	3:5 ✺
14.03.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3 ✺
13.03.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	HCMP - Dogs de Cholet	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French D1 Ice Hockey
19.03.26	HCMP - Nantes	2:6
18.03.26	HCMP - Nantes	3:5
14.03.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3
13.03.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3
24.01.26	Nantes - HCMP	2:3 penalties

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