Match Info

VHL

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Yubileiny (Almetyevsk)


	Neftyanik Almetyevsk		Molot Perm

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.24	2.92
	2	3.15	2.85
	2.05	3.94	3.08	Watch
	1.93	3.85	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.68)	3.55 ↓ (4.33)	3.01 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
44.8%

Draw
25.4%

Molot Perm
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

21.7%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

22.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neftyanik Almetyevsk's form might have worsened.

Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Molot Perm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neftyanik Almetyevsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Molot Perm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Molot Perm Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Molot will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Molot (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Nosov G. (G)	40. Gorshkov Y. (G)
90. Sumin A. (A)	12. Glukhov N. (C)
38. Garaishin I. (A)	89. Malyavin A.
77. Marushev M.	87. Kolesnikov N.
17. Kulikov P. (C)	10. Plastinin V. (A)
87. Krutov K.	81. Galimzyanov R.
Line 2
4. Chetverikov D.	25. Shaborshin G.
71. Samigullin R.	39. Zimin N.
13. Zamaltdinov R.	34. Mikhasyonok V.
63. Platonov Y.	97. Opalev R.
99. Zhulin T.	18. Shcherbakov P.
Line 3
75. Ionov S.	77. Belyakov F. (A)
8. Mulyukov I.	91. Zilev L.
74. Govorkov M.	11. Lapin D.
98. Govorkov R.	72. Luttsev R.
88. Bulatov A.	22. Sinyavsky P.
Line 4
79. Troyanov I.	42. Chaly G.
85. Fazylzyanov K.	95. Shlykov V.
15. Yakupov R.	13. Yabelov D.
19. Khlopotov V.	7. Elblaus A.
61. Abdukadyrov S.
Substitutes
1. Peksa V. (G)	74. Meshkovsky G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
05:25, 0 - 1, Kolesnikov N. (G), Lapin D. (A), Plastinin V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
06:23, 1 - 1, Ionov S. (G),
08:01, 2 - 1, Krutov K. (G), Marushev M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 2.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Molot has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Neftyanik Almetyevsk for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:38 (averaging 3.1:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Neftyanik Almetyevsk against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 33:26 goals (averaging 3:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Almetyevsk	13	6	4	0	3	38:23	20
8	Perm	11	6	2	0	3	29:20	16

Last Results with these Odds

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.81%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
21.09.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:4 ✺
18.09.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Izhstal	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	6:2 ✺
11.09.26	Kristall Saratov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:6 ✺
09.09.26	Dizel Penza - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW
- HC Molot Perm
VHL
21.09.26	CSK VVS Samara - Molot Perm	6:4 ✺
15.09.26	Molot Perm - Khimik	2:1 OT ✺
13.09.26	Molot Perm - Zvezda Moscow	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Molot Perm - Dinamo St. Petersburg	6:4 ✺
09.09.26	Molot Perm - SKA-VMF	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
11.02.26	Molot Perm - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:8
12.10.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Molot Perm	3:0
30.10.24	Molot Perm - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 OT
02.09.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Molot Perm	2:3 penalties
19.01.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Molot Perm	3:4 OT
30.09.23	Molot Perm - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:4
24.01.23	Molot Perm - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:4

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