Match Info

VHL

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Molot Sports Hall (Perm) 🌤️ ...


	Molot Perm		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.63	3.63
	1.64	3.5	3.5
	1.76	4.15	3.89	Watch
	1.72	3.95	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)	3.81 ↓ (4.1)	3.67 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molot Perm
52.3%

Draw
23.4%

Zvezda Moscow
24.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.2%

22.9%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

23.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Zvezda Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Molot Perm - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Molot will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Molot (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Molot (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Molot (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
74. Meshkovsky G. (G)	81. Kloberdanets M. (G)
89. Malyavin A.	23. Grushnikov A.
16. Averin N. (C)	15. Alexandrov D. (C)
81. Galimzyanov R.	87. Yapparov Y.
10. Plastinin V. (A)	19. Prokhorov A.
34. Mikhasyonok V.	97. Churkin A.
Line 2
39. Zimin N.	86. Gubanov A.
25. Shaborshin G.	7. Malyshev A. (A)
22. Sinyavsky P.	56. Vlasenko D. (A)
71. Kolesnikov Y.	74. Frolov
11. Lapin D.	84. Lagoda G.
Line 3
77. Belyakov F. (A)	73. Rusakov
91. Zilev L.	3. Sidorov M.
18. Shcherbakov P.	42. Savvateyev V.
97. Opalev R.	98. Pankratov S.
87. Kolesnikov N.	53. Matveiko Y.
Line 4
7. Elblaus A.	32. Kashaev
95. Shlykov V.	40. Anohin
13. Yabelov D.	14. Gusniyev A.
72. Luttsev R.	75. Averochkin M.
	37. Mikhailov N.
Substitutes
40. Gorshkov Y. (G)	34. Tabatchikov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:15, 1 - 0, Luttsev R. (G), Shlykov V. (A),
06:16, 1 - 1, Malyshev A. (G),
10:53, 2 - 1, Malyavin A. (G), Kolesnikov N. (A), Kolesnikov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molot won 1.

Molot is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zvezda Moscow is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zvezda Moscow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Molot has had a series of home games.

In this match, Molot is considered a favorite.

We predict that Molot will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Molot won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 55:57. (average 2.8:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Molot won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 2.5:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Perm	16	9	2	0	5	45:27	22
23	Zvezda Moscow	17	3	4	1	9	42:53	15

Last Results with these Odds

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 3.62 are the expected chance of winning is 25.9%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Molot Perm
VHL
11.09.26	Molot Perm - Dinamo St. Petersburg	6:4 ✺
09.09.26	Molot Perm - SKA-VMF	3:2 ✺
03.09.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Molot Perm	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
23.08.26	Molot Perm - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:1 AET ✺
21.08.26	Molot Perm - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWL
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
11.09.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Zvezda Moscow	4:5 OT ✺
09.09.26	Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow	3:0 ✺
07.09.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Zvezda Moscow	7:2 ✺
03.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Khimik	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.26	Zvezda Moscow - Khimik	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
13.12.25	Zvezda Moscow - Molot Perm	2:3 penalties
01.12.25	Molot Perm - Zvezda Moscow	1:2
14.03.25	Zvezda Moscow - Molot Perm	3:2 OT
09.09.24	Molot Perm - Zvezda Moscow	4:5 penalties
19.12.23	Molot Perm - Zvezda Moscow	3:4 OT
29.10.23	Zvezda Moscow - Molot Perm	3:6
15.12.22	Zvezda Moscow - Molot Perm	0:1

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