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Current Win Probability
Nitra 44.3%
Draw 22.3%
Poprad 33.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43%
22%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
22.9%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nitra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Poprad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nitra than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poprad than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Nitra - Poprad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Jurusik M. (G)
33. Hudacek J. (G)
44. Osburn Z.
5. Bodak M.
24. Mezei B.
72. Jank B.
67. Paulovic M.
18. Sotek A.
13. Kristof M.
96. Coulter T.
91. Jackson R.
31. Dvorak A.
Line 2
52. Rantakari O.
85. Marcinko J.
2. Baca M.
40. Lefebvre M.
96. Molnar O.
98. Bjaloncik P.
71. Pollock B.
27. Cracknell A.
98. Turansky A.
91. Calof A.
Line 3
17. Vitalos M.
6. Mezovsky F.
16. Stacha M.
74. Brincko B.
21. Bajtek F.
25. Suchy M.
29. Chrenko T.
15. Urbanek J.
39. Kodhaj D.
29. Rychlik P.
Line 4
28. Kalman A.
7. Nemcik M.
15. Carmichael E.
21. Vandas M.
9. Kovac H.
20. Kundrik P.
11. Lass D.
10. Stancek M.
19. Sisik S.
Substitutes
33. Marinov M. (G)
34. Belanyi F. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:50, 0 - 1, Urbanek J. (G), Suchy M. (A), Rychlik P. (A2)
19:29, 1 - 1, Rantakari O. (G), Chrenko T. (A), Turansky A. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
06:13, 2 - 1, Kristof M. (G), Jackson R. (A), Paulovic M. (A2)
07:30, 3 - 1, Jackson R. (G), Kristof M. (A),
19:42, 4 - 1, Jackson R. (G), Paulovic M. (A), Kristof M. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Tipsport liga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 1st in the Promotion - Tipsport liga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nitra won 4.
Both teams have recently enjoyed an outstanding winning streak.
Poprad could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nitra has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 77:63 (averaging 3.9:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nitra against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 36:26 goals (averaging 3.6:2.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Poprad
14
8
2
1
3
48:35
29
9
Nitra
14
5
2
1
6
42:38
20
Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now
Nitra: 10.54% Poprad: 9.72%
Last Results with these Odds
Nitra - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.03%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.
Slovakia
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Jurusik M. (G) 
Hudacek J. (G) 
Jank B. 
Coulter T. 
Rantakari O. 
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