Match Info

World Championship

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Jyske Bank Boxen (Herning)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Canada	TSN 4
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	Magenta Sport, ProSieben
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Igra
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ plus
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	TV10, TV6, Viaplay
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	Norway		Germany

	1	X	2
	6	5.5	1.42	Watch
	6	5.25	1.4
	5.65	5.35	1.47
	5.67	5.32	1.42
	5.5	5.49	1.45	Watch
	5	4.75	1.4
	5.98	5.22	1.46	Watch
	5.65	5.35	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.68 ↑ (4.05)	5.28 ↑ (4.4)	1.44 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norway
16.6%

Draw
17.8%

Germany
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

21.4%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

21.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Norway's form might have worsened.

Germany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Germany's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norway than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norway, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germany than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Germany, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4%	4%	92%

Norway - Germany Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Norway (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Germany will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Germany will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Norway (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Germany (votes: 17 - 94.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Arntzen J. (G) Orebro	30. Grubauer P. (G) Seattle Kraken
7. Engebraten S. BIK Karlskoga	53. Seider M. (C) Detroit Red Wings
78. Lilleberg E. (C) Tampa Bay Lightning	41. Muller J. (A) Eisbaren Berlin
71. Bakke Olsen E. BIK Karlskoga	74. Schutz J. Adler Mannheim
17. Salsten E.	19. Stachowiak W. ERC Ingolstadt
24. Berglund J. Storhamar	72. Kahun D. Lausanne
Line 2
72. Solberg S. Anaheim Ducks	38. Wagner F. Munchen
4. Johannesen J. Pelicans Lahti	11. Geibel K. Eisbaren Berlin
27. Martinsen A. (A) Storhamar	65. Michaelis M. (A) Adler Mannheim
37. Vikingstad M. Eisbaren Berlin	18. Stutzle T. Ottawa Senators
28. Brandsegg-Nygard M. Skelleftea	42. Ehliz Y. Munchen
Line 3
43. Krogdahl M. Djurgarden	55. Szuber M. Utah Mammoth
2. Hansen I. Vimmerby	49. Kaelble L. Adler Mannheim
18. Olsen T. Jukurit	95. Tiffels F. Eisbaren Berlin
13. Vesterheim P. Malmo	44. Samanski J. Edmonton Oilers
12. Steen N. (A) Orebro	73. Reichel L. Chicago Blackhawks
Line 4
47. Danielsen A. Storhamar	25. Huttl L. ERC Ingolstadt
22. Ronnild M. Storhamar	12. Mik E. Eisbaren Berlin
19. Salsten H. Djurgarden	40. Ehl A. Adler Mannheim
26. Elvsveen P. Stavanger	50. Hager P. Munchen
	7. Kastner M. Munchen
Substitutes
39. Edvardsen S. A. BIK Karlskoga	35. Niederberger M. (G) Munchen
30. Normann T. (G) Frolunda
Coaches
. Johansson T.	. Kreis H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
04:51, 0 - 1, Ehliz Y. (G), Stutzle T. (A), Michaelis M. (A2)
12:25, Solberg S. (2 min),
12:25, Hager P. (2 min),
14:54, Samanski J. (2 min),
16:10, 0 - 2, Michaelis M. (G), Ehliz Y. (A), Wagner F. (A2)
19:07, Seider M. (2 min),
19:50, 1 - 2, Martinsen A. (G), Brandsegg-Nygard M. (A), Johannesen J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
04:56, 1 - 3, Stachowiak W. (G), Kahun D. (A),
06:46, 1 - 4, Samanski J. (G), Reichel L. (A), Kaelble L. (A2)
08:35, Krogdahl M. (2 min),
16:15, Krogdahl M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:45, Kastner M. (2 min),
06:45, Krogdahl M. (2 min),
07:07, 2 - 4, Berglund J. (G), Salsten H. (A), Bakke Olsen E. (A2)
15:56, Martinsen A. (2 min),
17:51, Elvsveen P. (2 min),
19:43, 2 - 5, Tiffels F. (G), Kahun D. (A), Stutzle T. (A2)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norway won 3.

Norway is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Germany is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Germany may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Germany is a strong favorite.

We predict that Germany will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Norway won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 4.8:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norway hockey
IIHF World Championship
11.05.25	Norway - Czech Republic	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Norway - Kazakhstan	1:2 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
03.05.25	Norway - Latvia	2:1 OT ✺
02.05.25	Norway - Latvia	1:2 OT ✺
26.04.25	France - Norway	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLL
- Germany hockey
IIHF World Championship
11.05.25	Germany - Kazakhstan	4:1 ✺
10.05.25	Germany - Hungary	6:1 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
04.05.25	Germany - USA	2:5 ✺
26.04.25	Germany - Austria	5:0 ✺
24.04.25	Austria - Germany	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship
22.05.21	Norway - Germany	1:5
06.05.18	Germany - Norway	4:5 penalties
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
17.02.18	Germany - Norway	2:1 penalties
Friendly International Ice Hockey
08.04.17	Norway - Germany	5:2
06.04.17	Norway - Germany	5:1
IIHF World Championship
13.05.12	Germany - Norway	4:12

Norway - Germany: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide