The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nový Jičín 31.5%
Draw 20.2%
SHKM Hodonín 48.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.2%
17.3%
58.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
18%
56.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nový Jičín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nový Jičín's performance.
SHKM Hodonín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SHKM Hodonín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nový Jičín than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nový Jičín that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SHKM Hodonín than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SHKM Hodonín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nový Jičín - SHKM Hodonín Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
08:24, 0 - 1, Vyrubalik M. (G), Hlousek S. (A),
10:49, 1 - 1, Zemko M. (G), Bachor S. (A), Malinik R. (A2)
17:32, 1 - 2, Dufek A. (G), Nemec J. (A), Vicha F. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 4)
00:41, 1 - 3, Hujsa M. (G), Nemec J. (A),
05:47, 1 - 4, Hlozanek E. (G), Nemec J. (A),
10:45, 2 - 4, Spevacek V. (G),
11:55, 2 - 5, Masar J. (G), Krejcirik V. (A), Hlozanek E. (A2)
14:38, 2 - 6, Picka F. (G), Barta D. (A), Nemec J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
03:30, 3 - 6, Gerych R. (G),
04:23, 3 - 7, Hlozanek E. (G), Dufek A. (A), Nemec J. (A2)
04:50, 3 - 8, Hlousek S. (G), Vyrubalik M. (A), Telnov V. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nový Jičín won 1.
Nový Jičín has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by SHKM Hodonín have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
SHKM Hodonín could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
In this matchup, SHKM Hodonín is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nový Jičín has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:67 (averaging 2.7:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nový Jičín against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 25:33 goals (averaging 2.5:3.3 per game).