The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oceláři Třinec 53.6%
Draw 21.2%
Mountfield Hradec Králové 25.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54%
21.2%
24.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.7%
22.6%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oceláři Třinec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Mountfield Hradec Králové has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mountfield Hradec Králové than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Oceláři Třinec - Mountfield Hradec Králové Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
90. Kacetl O. (G)
33. Vomacka T. (G)
55. Adamek M.
12. McCormack G.
52. Marincin M. (A)
29. Kalina P.
94. Nestrasil A. (A)
69. Radil L. (C)
87. Kovarcik M.
48. Cacho V.
34. Kovarcik O.
98. Pavlik R.
Line 2
76. Galvas J.
4. Sykora D.
64. Koch P.
40. Koch A.
43. Kurovsky D.
26. Jergl A.
79. Hudacek L.
25. Tamasi A.
56. Dano M.
94. Perret J. (A)
Line 3
6. Musil D.
23. Melancon T.J.
24. Pyrochta F.
51. Vukojevic M.
27. Ruzicka Mart. (C)
90. Kousal R.
40. Roman M.
34. Klima Kev.
96. Vozenilek D.
46. Kohout M. (A)
Line 4
72. Prusek P.
9. Planek M.
9. Kubiesa M.
74. Modry J.
78. Chlan P.
7. Nenonen M.
19. Hrehorcak P.
62. Pilar R.
65. Domkar M.
Substitutes
2. Mazanec M. (G)
31. Skorvanek S. (G)
92. Svancara R.
Coaches
. Zabka B.
. Martinec T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
02:53, Pavlik R. (2 min),
04:52, 1 - 0, Kubiesa M. (G), Chlan P. (A),
13:01, 2 - 0, Ruzicka Mart. (G), Vozenilek D. (A), Roman M. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:27, 2 - 1, Perret J. (G), Koch A. (A),
06:08, Sykora D. (2 min),
09:23, Koch P. (2 min),
11:53, Kurovsky D. (2 min),
14:58, 3 - 1, Vozenilek D. (G), Hudacek L. (A),
15:57, Perret J. (2 min),
18:13, 4 - 1, Marincin M. (G), Chlan P. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:06, 5 - 1, Dano M. (G), Hudacek L. (A), Kurovsky D. (A2)
08:17, Marincin M. (2 min),
10:00, 5 - 2, Melancon T.J. (G), McCormack G. (A), Klima Kev. (A2)
15:05, (2 min),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 5th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 4.
Třinec arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Mountfield shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Třinec may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Třinec carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Třinec: Flynn O.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Třinec: Hrehorcak P.
(Leg Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Mountfield: Planek M.
(Leg Injury)
Sykora D.
(Health problems)
Zdrahal P.
(Health problems).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Třinec has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:46 (averaging 2.7:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Třinec against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 31:22 goals (averaging 3.1:2.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Trinec
9
9
0
0
0
45:18
27
7
Mountfield HK
9
3
2
0
4
25:25
13
Last Results with these Odds
Oceláři Třinec - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.98%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Czech-republic
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Kacetl O. (G) 
McCormack G. 
Marincin M. (A) 
Koch A. 
Perret J. (A) 
Nenonen M. 
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