The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oceláři Třinec 58.6%
Draw 20%
Vítkovice Steel 21.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.2%
20.2%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.7%
20.7%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oceláři Třinec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Vítkovice Steel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vítkovice Steel than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Oceláři Třinec - Vítkovice Steel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
90. Kacetl O. (G)
31. Svancara P. (G)
55. Adamek M.
93. Holland R.
52. Marincin M. (A)
38. Zboril J. (C)
94. Nestrasil A. (A)
14. Stransky S.
87. Kovarcik M.
27. Hrivik M. (A)
34. Kovarcik O.
81. Cienciala D.
Line 2
76. Galvas J.
12. Knazko S.
64. Koch P.
4. Leahy J.
9. Kubiesa M.
21. Yetman C.
79. Hudacek L.
19. Nellis A.
56. Dano M.
24. Abdul J.
Line 3
6. Musil D.
20. Wesley J.
24. Pyrochta F.
79. Pavelka T.
27. Ruzicka Mart. (C)
72. Krivosik F.
40. Roman M.
67. Hladonik J.
96. Vozenilek D.
11. Kalus M. (A)
Line 4
72. Prusek P.
8. Demel P.
71. Lazovsky M.
28. Bernovsky J.
78. Chlan P.
89. Sir J.
19. Hrehorcak P.
34. Macias K.
Substitutes
2. Mazanec M. (G)
49. Hrachovina D. (G)
42. Polasek J.
82. Petr D.
Coaches
. Zabka B.
. Treille Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
05:50, Hudacek L. (2 min),
06:10, 0 - 1, Abdul J. (G), Zboril J. (A), Pavelka T. (A2)
06:31, Vozenilek D. (2 min),
06:31, Leahy J. (2 min),
07:56, 1 - 1, Dano M. (G), Pyrochta F. (A), Hudacek L. (A2)
10:42, 2 - 1, Pyrochta F. (G), Hudacek L. (A), Kubiesa M. (A2)
11:58, 3 - 1, Vozenilek D. (G), Musil D. (A), Ruzicka Mart. (A2)
19:44, Vozenilek D. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:42, Holland R. (2 min),
07:16, 4 - 1, Nestrasil A. (G), Ruzicka Mart. (A),
09:06, Lazovsky M. (2 min),
17:42, Koch P. (2 min),
3rd Period (4 - 1)
02:16, Hrivik M. (2 min),
02:40, 5 - 1, Kovarcik M. (G), Kubiesa M. (A), Hudacek L. (A2)
05:29, 5 - 2, Nellis A. (G),
09:05, Sir J. (2 min),
10:50, Holland R. (2 min),
11:56, 6 - 2, Hudacek L. (G), Dano M. (A), Pyrochta F. (A2)
13:10, Holland R. (5 min),
15:16, 7 - 2, Kubiesa M. (G), Dano M. (A), Kovarcik M. (A2)
18:07, 8 - 2, Pyrochta F. (G), Hudacek L. (A), Dano M. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 3.
Třinec arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Vítkovice is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Třinec may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Vítkovice has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Třinec carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Třinec: Flynn O.
(Muscle Injury)
Kovarcik M.
(Concussion).
Our forecast points to a victory for Třinec in today's match, at odds of 1.58.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Třinec has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:48 (averaging 2.8:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Třinec against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 29:25 goals (averaging 3.2:2.8 per game).