Match Info

Extraliga - Round 41

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: WERK Arena (Trinec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2, Oneplay Sport 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Oceláři Třinec		Sparta Prague

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.2	2.6	Watch
	2.19	4.2	2.65	Watch
	2.17	4.14	2.75
	2.15	4	2.6
	2.19	4.15	2.74	Watch
	2.2	4.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.28)	4.16 ↑ (3.98)	2.67 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oceláři Třinec
42.6%

Draw
22.5%

Sparta Prague
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

23.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

22.5%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oceláři Třinec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Oceláři Třinec - Sparta Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Třinec will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sparta Prague will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Třinec (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
90. Kacetl O. (G)	43. Kovar J. (G)
55. Adamek M.	10. Pysyk M.
52. Marincin M. (A)	36. Krejcik J. (A)
94. Nestrasil A.	26. Repik M. (A)
87. Kovarcik M.	94. Shore D.
34. Kovarcik O.	14. Chlapik F. (C)
Line 2
76. Galvas J.	4. Sirota J.
64. Koch P.	97. Masin D.
56. Dano M.	16. Dzierkals M.
79. Hudacek L.	34. Spacek M.
18. Flynn O.	23. Kousal P.
Line 3
84. Kundratek T.	24. Irving A.
6. Musil D.	77. Nemecek D.
27. Ruzicka Mart. (C)	38. Hyka T.
40. Roman M.	91. Vesalainen K.
19. Hrehorcak P.	11. Hrabik K.
Line 4
73. Jank B.	80. Seppala N.
9. Kubiesa M.	37. Vitouch M.
3. Sikora P.	46. Najman O.
43. Kurovsky D.	20. Eberle J.
Substitutes
22. Dravecky V. (A)	19. Hrabik O.
2. Mazanec M. (G)	32. Korenar J. (G)
Coaches
. Zabka B.	. Nedved J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
04:09, Sirota J. (2 min),
08:45, Masin D. (2 min),
10:20, 1 - 0, Kovarcik O. (G), Kovarcik M. (A), Adamek M. (A2)
12:54, Irving A. (2 min),
14:41, 2 - 0, Ruzicka Mart. (G), Sikora P. (A),
15:22, 2 - 1, Hrabik K. (G), Hyka T. (A),
16:12, 2 - 2, Chlapik F. (G), Seppala N. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
03:59, 3 - 2, Koch P. (G), Galvas J. (A), Kovarcik O. (A2)
16:02, 4 - 2, Hudacek L. (G), Flynn O. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:56, 4 - 3, Shore D. (G), Chlapik F. (A),
07:22, Najman O. (2 min),
16:46, 5 - 3, Ruzicka Mart. (G), Roman M. (A),
19:52, Chlapik F. (2 min),
19:52, Koch P. (2 min),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 1.

Třinec is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sparta Prague's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sparta Prague may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Třinec: Nedomlel R. (Hand Injury)

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Horak R. (Knee Injury) Lajunen J. (Back Injury) Seppala M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Třinec: Cienciala D. (Illness) Jank B. (Illness)

There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Raska A. (Illness)

We predict that Třinec will win today's game, with odds of 2.21.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 44:49. (average 2.2:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Třinec won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 2.2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Trinec	9	9	0	0	0	45:18	27
10	Sparta Prague	9	3	0	2	4	28:28	11

Last Results with these Odds

Oceláři Třinec - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oceláři Třinec
Czech Extraliga
09.01.26	Olomouc - Oceláři Třinec	4:1 ✺
07.01.26	Oceláři Třinec - Energie Karlovy Vary	6:3 ✺
04.01.26	Oceláři Třinec - Verva Litvínov	3:2 OT ✺
02.01.26	Vítkovice Steel - Oceláři Třinec	0:2 ✺
30.12.25	Oceláři Třinec - Kometa Brno	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW
- HC Sparta Prague
Czech Extraliga
06.01.26	Sparta Prague - Pardubice	2:3 OT ✺
04.01.26	Sparta Prague - Rytíři Kladno	4:5 OT ✺
Spengler Cup
30.12.25	US Collegiate Selects - Sparta Prague	5:3 ✺
29.12.25	Sparta Prague - Canada	5:1 ✺
27.12.25	HIFK - Sparta Prague	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
30.11.25	Oceláři Třinec - Sparta Prague	1:2
21.10.25	Sparta Prague - Oceláři Třinec	1:4
12.09.25	Sparta Prague - Oceláři Třinec	5:2
24.03.25	Sparta Prague - Oceláři Třinec	3:2
21.03.25	Oceláři Třinec - Sparta Prague	3:4 OT
20.03.25	Oceláři Třinec - Sparta Prague	3:2
17.03.25	Sparta Prague - Oceláři Třinec	2:1

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