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Current Win Probability
Oceláři Třinec 53.8%
Draw 21.8%
Energie Karlovy Vary 24.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.9%
20.8%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
22.6%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oceláři Třinec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Energie Karlovy Vary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Karlovy Vary than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Oceláři Třinec - Energie Karlovy Vary Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
90. Kacetl O. (G)
31. Kral D. (G)
55. Adamek M. (A)
6. Koci M.
76. Galvas J.
9. Brickley D.
94. Nestrasil A. (A)
8. Beranek O. (A)
87. Kovarcik M.
21. Cernoch J. (C)
34. Kovarcik O.
15. Minarik J.
Line 2
39. Petrovicky R.
55. Mamcics R.
64. Koch P.
4. Schmiemann Q.
9. Kubiesa M.
86. Bambula J.
79. Hudacek L.
18. Jones N.
56. Dano M.
29. Stastny D.
Line 3
6. Musil D.
7. Eronen E.
24. Pyrochta F.
24. Mysak J. (A)
27. Ruzicka Mart. (C)
12. Tomek P.
78. Chlan P.
10. Egle H.
96. Vozenilek D.
11. Sapousek R.
Line 4
66. Aubrecht D.
70. Lukosik A.
43. Kurovsky D.
23. Jiskra V.
40. Roman M.
17. Redlich T.
19. Hrehorcak P.
Substitutes
1. Celko D. (G)
0. Frodl D. (G)
Coaches
. Zabka B.
. Patera P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
00:36, Minarik J. (2 min),
09:58, 1 - 0, Kubiesa M. (G),
10:14, 1 - 1, Stastny D. (G), Jones N. (A), Bambula J. (A2)
11:51, Roman M. (2 min),
11:51, Redlich T. (2 min),
18:48, Galvas J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
09:58, Bambula J. (2 min),
17:25, Beranek O. (2 min),
17:31, Nestrasil A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
04:09, Koch P. (5 min),
05:34, Sapousek R. (2 min),
07:05, Mamcics R. (2 min),
10:59, 2 - 1, Kurovsky D. (G), Petrovicky R. (A),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 4.
Třinec has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Karlovy Vary shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Karlovy Vary may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Třinec is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Třinec: Flynn O.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Třinec: Marincin M.
(Illness)
Mazanec M.
(Illness).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Třinec has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:41 (averaging 2.8:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Třinec against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 34:21 goals (averaging 3.4:2.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Trinec
15
12
1
1
1
62:34
39
5
Karlovy Vary
15
7
2
0
6
36:27
25
Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now
Trinec: 18.85% Karlovy Vary: 3.77%
Last Results with these Odds
Oceláři Třinec - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.93%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.
Czech Republic
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Kacetl O. (G) 
Brickley D. 
Minarik J. 
Mamcics R. 
Schmiemann Q. 
Eronen E. 
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