Match Info

ELJ - Round 9

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Oceláři Třinec U20		Vítkovice Steel U20

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.95	5.05
	1.52	4.43	4.45
	1.49	5.2	4.89	Watch
	1.5	4.35	4.4
	1.47	4.75	4.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.72)	4.74 ↑ (4.74)	4.72 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oceláři Třinec U20
61.6%

Draw
19.2%

Vítkovice Steel U20
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

19.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

21.5%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oceláři Třinec U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oceláři Třinec U20's performance.

Vítkovice Steel U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vítkovice Steel U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oceláři Třinec U20 than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oceláři Třinec U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vítkovice Steel U20 than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vítkovice Steel U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oceláři Třinec U20 - Vítkovice Steel U20 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Třinec U20 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Celko D. (G)	2. Kozel O. (G)
23. Blaha D. (A)	9. Abid A.
81. Blahuta J.	6. Drabek A. (A)
18. Dohnal J.	16. Glas S.
62. Hladonik V.	17. Herman T.
32. Holub L. D. (A)	7. Hrabina M.
57. Karas A.	21. Koltsov A.
48. Laganovskis E.	5. Leier T.
59. Makula W.	4. Majkowski M.
85. Marek J.	15. Man M.
58. Mikula M. (C)	8. Michalik R.
19. Mojzis M.	13. Muron J. (C)
43. Niemczyk P.	18. Nazad M.
42. Polasek J.	20. Pala T.
17. Rehak R.	14. Plsko A.
39. Rybnikar M.	25. Sebesta M.
44. Vlk F.	12. Svozil L.
21. Vojacek M.	24. Tomaskovic T.
33. Weiss M.	19. Zidek M. (A)
34. Zuffa S.	10. Zvejska J.
Substitutes
1. Chalupa J. (G)	1. Turon D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:46, 0 - 1, Koltsov A. (G), Zidek M. (A), Tomaskovic T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Třinec U20 won 2.

Třinec U20 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Vitkovice U20 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Třinec U20 holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Třinec U20 has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 80:59 (averaging 4:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Třinec U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 43:28 goals (averaging 4.3:2.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Vitkovice U20	13	7	1	0	5	29:32	23
8	Trinec U20	13	4	3	2	4	33:31	20

Last Results with these Odds

Oceláři Třinec U20 - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.59%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.

Vítkovice Steel U20 - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 26.95%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oceláři Třinec U20
Czech ELJ
26.09.26	Oceláři Třinec U20 - Plzen U20	2:1 penalties ✺
25.09.26	Oceláři Třinec U20 - Slavia Prague U20	3:1
19.09.26	Rytíři Kladno U20 - Oceláři Třinec U20	5:6 ✺
18.09.26	Sparta U20 Prague - Oceláři Třinec U20	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Oceláři Třinec U20 - Bílí Tygři Liberec U20	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW
- Vítkovice Steel U20
Czech ELJ
26.09.26	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Slavia Prague U20	2:3 ✺
25.09.26	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Plzen U20	2:5
19.09.26	Sparta U20 Prague - Vítkovice Steel U20	1:2 penalties ✺
18.09.26	Rytíři Kladno U20 - Vítkovice Steel U20	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Mladá Boleslav U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
13.08.26	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Oceláři Třinec U20	8:3
31.07.26	Oceláři Třinec U20 - Vítkovice Steel U20	4:5 penalties
Czech ELJ
01.11.25	Oceláři Třinec U20 - Vítkovice Steel U20	3:4 penalties
01.11.24	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Oceláři Třinec U20	0:4
01.09.24	Oceláři Třinec U20 - Vítkovice Steel U20	5:1
27.02.24	Oceláři Třinec U20 - Vítkovice Steel U20	4:2
29.01.24	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Oceláři Třinec U20	1:5

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