Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 33

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Hala Tivoli (Ljubljana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Sport TV1


	Olimpija Ljubljana		Fehérvár AV 19

	1	X	2
	1.87	4.5	3
	1.85	4.35	3.25
	1.86	4.33	3.32	Watch
	1.8	4.2	3.2
	1.84	4.2	3.27	Watch
	1.76	4.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)	4.31 ↑ (4.28)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpija Ljubljana
50.1%

Draw
21.3%

Fehérvár AV 19
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

21.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

21.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Fehérvár AV 19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fehérvár AV 19 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Olimpija Ljubljana - Fehérvár AV 19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Kolin L. (G)	35. Horvath D. (G)
43. Brennan T.	59. Messner J.
72. Masic B.	79. Andersen O.
94. Drozg J.	92. Kuralt A.
89. Boychuk Z.	10. Bartalis I.
93. Meyer N.	36. Erdely C.
Line 2
60. Kirichenko C.	67. Horvath D.
74. Halbert N.	17. Kiss R.
8. Mahkovec M.	43. Gerlach M.
19. Petan A.	18. Richards J.
9. Polei E.	90. Archibald D.
Line 3
15. Gregorc B.	7. Stajnoch M.
2. MacWilliam A.	5. Stipsicz B.
70. Kapel R.	34. Terbocs I.
11. Quince M.	26. Kulmala R.
55. Sabolic R.	39. Cheek T.
Line 4
23. Sodja J.	82. Magosi B.
44. Crnovic A.	93. Mihaly A.
13. Pance Z.	3. Varga B.
10. Bericic M.
12. Simsic N.
Substitutes
61. Horak L. (G)	45. Reijola R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
08:17, 1 - 0, Mahkovec M. (G), Petan A. (A), Polei E. (A2)
17:09, 2 - 0, Mahkovec M. (G), Simsic N. (A), Crnovic A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:15, 3 - 0, Meyer N. (G), Drozg J. (A), Boychuk Z. (A2)
00:50, 4 - 0, Polei E. (G), Petan A. (A), Mahkovec M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
10:58, 5 - 0, Simsic N. (G), Bericic M. (A), Brennan T. (A2)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpija won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Olimpija has had a series of away games.

Olimpija might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpija won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 49:66. (average 2.5:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpija won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:36. (average 2.6:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Olimpija Ljubljana
Austrian Ice Hockey League
26.12.25	Bolzano - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:1 ✺
21.12.25	Pioneers Vorarlberg - Olimpija Ljubljana	5:2 ✺
19.12.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	1:4 ✺
17.12.25	Graz 99ers - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:3 penalties ✺
07.12.25	TWK Innsbruck - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWW
- SAPA Fehervar AV 19
Austrian Ice Hockey League
26.12.25	Fehérvár AV 19 - Vienna Capitals	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Fehérvár AV 19 - Black Wings Linz	4:2 ✺
19.12.25	Graz 99ers - Fehérvár AV 19	4:2 ✺
17.12.25	Fehérvár AV 19 - EC KAC	3:6 ✺
07.12.25	Pioneers Vorarlberg - Fehérvár AV 19	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
03.12.25	Fehérvár AV 19 - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:1
28.09.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Fehérvár AV 19	3:2 penalties
03.01.25	Fehérvár AV 19 - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:1
22.12.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Fehérvár AV 19	4:1
04.12.24	Fehérvár AV 19 - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:1
29.10.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Fehérvár AV 19	1:2
21.02.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Fehérvár AV 19	3:6

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