Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 28

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: TIWAG Arena (Innsbruck)


	TWK Innsbruck		Olimpija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	4	5.25	1.53
	4.7	4.95	1.51
	4.15	4.73	1.55
	4.4	4.91	1.57	Watch
	4.6	4.8	1.44
	4.3	4.75	1.55	Watch
	4.25	4.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (4)	4.84 ↓ (5.19)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

TWK Innsbruck
21%

Draw
18.9%

Olimpija Ljubljana
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

17.4%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

17.4%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TWK Innsbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TWK Innsbruck than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

TWK Innsbruck - Olimpija Ljubljana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
81. Brandner J. (G)	30. Kolin L. (G)
13. Steffler D.	43. Brennan T.
27. Kudla P.	72. Masic B.
21. Benker S.	97. Drozg J.
93. Lajeunesse T.	89. Boychuk Z.
91. Wilkins M.	93. Meyer N.
Line 2
4. Stoffler E.	60. Kirichenko C.
98. Lattner J.	2. MacWilliam A.
60. Coatta M.	8. Mahkovec M.
12. Corbeil B.	21. Bukovec M.
47. Witting M.	55. Sabolic R.
Line 3
2. Moberg C.	44. Crnovic A.
53. Ebner M.	15. Gregorc B.
20. Rappold K.	71. Mehle Z.
39. Sproule E.	11. Quince M.
89. Bar L.	12. Simsic N.
Line 4
61. Frimmel W.	86. Bohinc R.
5. Kerber N.	23. Sodja J.
74. Klassek S.	10. Bericic M.
44. Mader T.	13. Pance Z.
23. Dobnig J.
Substitutes
30. Vernon M. (G)	61. Horak L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
12:18, 0 - 1, Simsic N. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
16:25, 0 - 2, Bukovec M. (G), Crnovic A. (A), Sabolic R. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:35, 0 - 3, Sabolic R. (G), Masic B. (A), Quince M. (A2)
12:34, 1 - 3, Coatta M. (G), Lajeunesse T. (A), Kudla P. (A2)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Innsbruck won 3.

Innsbruck is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Olimpija has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Innsbruck may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Olimpija has had a series of home games.

In this match, Olimpija is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Innsbruck won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 71:60. (average 3.6:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Innsbruck won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 3:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

TWK Innsbruck - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 22.58%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TWK Innsbruck
Austrian Ice Hockey League
06.12.25	TWK Innsbruck - Fehérvár AV 19	2:4 ✺
03.12.25	Black Wings Linz - TWK Innsbruck	5:4 OT ✺
30.11.25	TWK Innsbruck - Red Bull Salzburg	0:4 ✺
28.11.25	Bolzano - TWK Innsbruck	3:1 ✺
26.11.25	TWK Innsbruck - EC KAC	9:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLLW
- HK Olimpija Ljubljana
Austrian Ice Hockey League
05.12.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Villacher	6:3 ✺
03.12.25	Fehérvár AV 19 - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Ferencvárosi	2:1 OT ✺
28.11.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Graz 99ers	0:1 ✺
26.11.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
01.11.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - TWK Innsbruck	5:6 OT
12.10.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - TWK Innsbruck	6:7 OT
26.09.25	TWK Innsbruck - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:9
31.01.25	TWK Innsbruck - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:4
14.12.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - TWK Innsbruck	2:6
02.11.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - TWK Innsbruck	4:2
04.10.24	TWK Innsbruck - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:0

Upcoming Matches