Match Info
AIHLDate: 9 August 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AIHL TV |
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Perth Thunder |
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Melbourne Mustangs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.54 |
5.00 |
1.95 |
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 |
2.55 |
4.45 |
2 |
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 |
2.37 |
5.11 |
2.05 |
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 |
2.79 |
5.7 |
1.87 |
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 |
2.65 |
5.25 |
1.8 |
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 |
2.93 |
4.85 |
1.82 |
 Watch |
 |
2.85 |
4.7 |
1.9 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.55) |
5.01 ↑
(4.69) |
1.91 ↓
(2.01) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Perth Thunder
34.2% | Draw
18.2% | Melbourne Mustangs
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perth Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Melbourne Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Thunder than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (-4.6%)Perth Thunder - Melbourne Mustangs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:5 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 3)
- 03:27, 0 - 1, Klomp D. (G), Gaeta D. (A), Burns C. (A2)
- 04:45, 0 - 2, Timmins S. (G), Crane B. (A), Hughes J. (A2)
- 12:27, 0 - 3, Crane B. (G), Gaeta D. (A), Caron P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 08:12, 0 - 4, Klomp D. (G), Crane B. (A), Caron P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 12:45, 0 - 5, Klomp D. (G), Hughes J. (A), Sucher L. (A2)
- 17:47, 0 - 6, Hayden D. (G), Crane B. (A), Timmins S. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 3.Recent form of Perth has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Melbourne Mustangs is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).Melbourne Mustangs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Perth has had a series of home games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match. We predict that Melbourne Mustangs will win today's game, with odds of 2.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Perth won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 88:78. (average 4.4:3.9).Including home matches between the teams, Perth won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 46:37. (average 4.6:3.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian Ice Hockey League | | | 08.08.26 | Perth Thunder - Melbourne Mustangs | 3:4 | | 26.04.26 | Melbourne Mustangs - Perth Thunder | 2:7 | | 25.04.26 | Melbourne Mustangs - Perth Thunder | 5:2 | | 29.08.25 | Perth Thunder - Melbourne Mustangs | 5:2 | | 24.08.25 | Perth Thunder - Melbourne Mustangs | 11:7 | | 23.08.25 | Perth Thunder - Melbourne Mustangs | 13:4 | | 15.06.25 | Melbourne Mustangs - Perth Thunder | 4:3 |
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