Match Info

ELJ - Round 10

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Plzen U20		Mountfield HK U20

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.53	2.77
	1.75	4.76	3.47	Watch
	1.89	4.45	2.70
	1.83	4.30	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.75)	4.51 ↑ (4.16)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plzen U20
49.5%

Draw
20.3%

Mountfield HK U20
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

21.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

23.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plzen U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Mountfield HK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plzen U20 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mountfield HK U20 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poustka E. (G)	1. Huzl D. (G)
8. Belik S. (A)	22. Brzak F.
15. Boskovic M.	10. Cerny S.
10. Chasak J.	5. Domkar M.
14. Fodor J.	15. Hendrych P.
48. Hornig P.	13. Jon J. (A)
21. Janak V.	7. Korycansky J.
19. Klatovsky A. (C)	16. Kral L.
4. Kocek P. (A)	24. Krogler M. (A)
5. Marton A.	23. Novotny A.
25. Masek M.	21. Panek J.
12. Mihailovs M.	3. Pavlik D.
13. Nastoupil F.	20. Pavlik D.
9. Petrov H.	14. Pour L.
22. Pitter V.	11. Samek F. (C)
23. Spaskin M.	9. Sichan D.
7. Sulan M.	19. Tariska O.
20. Tarvids D.	12. Tvrdik P.
11. Ubl M.	18. Vanek F.
6. Vild L.	25. Vyvial J.
Substitutes
2. Varga S. (G)	2. Voracek A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
14:13, 1 - 0, Fodor J. (G), Hornig P. (A), Petrov H. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:08, 1 - 1, Kral L. (G), Vyvial J. (A),
07:29, 2 - 1, Tarvids D. (G), Klatovsky A. (A),
08:21, 3 - 1, Tarvids D. (G), Boskovic M. (A), Klatovsky A. (A2)
13:31, 3 - 2, Brzak F. (G), Jon J. (A), Hendrych P. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
02:26, 4 - 2, Ubl M. (G), Klatovsky A. (A),
10:51, 5 - 2, Tarvids D. (G), Ubl M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plzen U20 won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Mountfield U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Plzen U20 has faced a series of away games on the road.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Plzen U20 has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 68:47 (averaging 3.4:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Plzen U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 40:25 goals (averaging 3.6:2.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Plzen U20	11	7	0	1	3	47:36	22
13	Mountfield HK U20	13	3	1	2	7	39:48	13

Last Results with these Odds

Mountfield HK U20 - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.48%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Plzen U20
Czech ELJ
28.09.26	Slavia Prague U20 - Plzen U20	8:3 ✺
26.09.26	Oceláři Třinec U20 - Plzen U20	2:1 penalties ✺
25.09.26	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Plzen U20	2:5
12.09.26	Sparta U20 Prague - Plzen U20	6:2 ✺
11.09.26	Rytíři Kladno U20 - Plzen U20	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWLW
- Mountfield HK U20
Czech ELJ
28.09.26	Pardubice U20 - Mountfield HK U20	7:1 ✺
26.09.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Mladá Boleslav U20	3:4 ✺
25.09.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Bílí Tygři Liberec U20	8:1 ✺
19.09.26	Kometa Brno U20 - Mountfield HK U20	4:1 ✺
18.09.26	Poruba U20 - Mountfield HK U20	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech ELJ
13.02.26	Plzen U20 - Mountfield HK U20	5:2
10.02.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Plzen U20	3:4
16.01.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Plzen U20	4:2
28.11.25	Plzen U20 - Mountfield HK U20	5:0
03.10.25	Mountfield HK U20 - Plzen U20	5:4
27.02.25	Plzen U20 - Mountfield HK U20	5:1
31.01.25	Mountfield HK U20 - Plzen U20	0:3

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