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Current Win Probability
Polonia Bytom 33.1%
Draw 21.6%
Zagłębie Sosnowiec 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
20.5%
47.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
22.1%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Polonia Bytom - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Dyachenko B. (G)
33. Kaarlehto K. (G)
24. Bepierszcz M.
98. Bernacki M.
8. Bodora A.
9. Bilas K.
12. Buyalsky A.
13. Brynkus S.
44. Fadyeyev Y.
10. Ciepielewski P.
17. Gorny K.
6. Ciura B.
43. Hrebenyk A.
97. Dawid M.
9. Jarosz D.
55. Gromadzki A.
6. Kamenev Y.
57. Heikkinen V.
38. Karasinski A.
71. Kotlorz M.
19. Kociszewski M.
4. Krawczyk O.
23. Kubes J.
96. Musiol J.
11. Kurnicki O.
77. Narog M.
94. Mroczkowski C.
7. Olkkonen J.
77. Osenieks E.
87. Peresunko A.
21. Padakin P.
18. Roine M.
74. Proczek M.
88. Savilahti E.
91. Vorona O.
94. Sirkia V.
10. Wicher S.
59. Sozanski M.
86. Wielkiewicz F.
51. Wanacki J.
61. Zajac M.
27. Zachariasz O.
Substitutes
1. Jaworski T. (G)
21. Miarka M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
01:53, 1 - 0, Buyalsky A. (G),
09:19, 1 - 1, Sirkia V. (G), Roine M. (A), Savilahti E. (A2)
11:54, 2 - 1, Vorona O. (G), Fadyeyev Y. (A),
2nd Period (5 - 1)
01:47, 3 - 1, Osenieks E. (G), Padakin P. (A), Wicher S. (A2)
05:28, 3 - 2, Sirkia V. (G),
11:58, 4 - 2, Mroczkowski C. (G), Padakin P. (A),
13:18, 5 - 2, Hrebenyk A. (G), Bepierszcz M. (A),
13:35, 6 - 2, Wicher S. (G), Padakin P. (A), Jarosz D. (A2)
18:59, 7 - 2, Vorona O. (G), Fadyeyev Y. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bytom won 1.
Bytom has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Zagłębie is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Bytom could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Zagłębie is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bytom has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:74 (averaging 2.9:3.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bytom against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 25:33 goals (averaging 2.8:3.7 per game).