The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UKH Unia Oświęcim 43.6%
Draw 21.1%
Polonia Bytom 35.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.2%
20.9%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
22.2%
24.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UKH Unia Oświęcim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UKH Unia Oświęcim's form might have worsened.
Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Bytom's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UKH Unia Oświęcim than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UKH Unia Oświęcim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Bytom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
UKH Unia Oświęcim - Polonia Bytom Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Tyczynski I. (G)
1. Jaworski T. (G)
66. Valtola K.
34. Musiol D.
12. Bizacki O.
11. Kurnicki O.
43. Nieminen O.
86. Wielkiewicz F.
29. Marenis R.
9. Jarosz D.
91. Wilkins M.
24. Bepierszcz M.
Line 2
77. Ventela S.
74. Proczek M.
93. Makela A.
17. Gorny K.
88. Jokinen J.
91. Vorona O.
13. Ronkkonen J.
44. Fadyeyev Y.
26. Lewandowski J.
61. Zajac M.
Line 3
9. Dyukov R.
77. Osenieks E.
4. Matthews L.
43. Hrebenyk A.
95. Nahunko D.
12. Buyalsky A.
15. Tyczynski D.
94. Mroczkowski C.
16. Soltys J.
21. Padakin P.
Line 4
5. Florczak B.
8. Bodora A.
6. Staniecko M.
6. Kamenev Y.
44. Krzemien L.
19. Kociszewski M.
79. Kusak M.
38. Karasinski A.
10. Wicher S.
Substitutes
70. Kusak J. (G)
30. Dyachenko B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
03:02, 1 - 0, Florczak B. (G), Matthews L. (A),
10:32, 2 - 0, Tyczynski D. (G), Nahunko D. (A), Soltys J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
09:45, 2 - 1, Vorona O. (G), Buyalsky A. (A), Musiol D. (A2)
15:35, 3 - 1, Jokinen J. (G), Ronkkonen J. (A),
19:24, 3 - 2, Vorona O. (G), Mroczkowski C. (A), Gorny K. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unia won 1.
Unia has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bytom shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Bytom has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Unia has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 79:67 (averaging 4:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Unia against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 38:20 goals (averaging 4.8:2.5 per game).
Watch
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Tyczynski I. (G) 
Valtola K. 
Marenis R. 
Wilkins M. 
Vorona O. 
Dyukov R. 
Buyalsky A. 
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