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Current Win Probability
Portland Winterhawks 29.8%
Draw 21.1%
Vancouver Giants 49.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.5%
21.8%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
23.2%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Winterhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portland Winterhawks's form might have worsened.
Vancouver Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vancouver Giants's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Winterhawks than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portland Winterhawks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Giants than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vancouver Giants, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Portland Winterhawks - Vancouver Giants Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stebetak O. (G)
35. Hood B. (G)
8. Auld S.
24. Armstrong E.
28. Brown N. (C)
5. Byrne D.
72. Brown R.
29. Charko S.
20. Christopherson L.
16. Chorney B. (A)
92. Domenichelli A.
34. Emesibe D.
13. Dozark E.
7. Hartmann K.
9. Duguay J. (A)
2. Humeniuk S.
4. Grumley S.
22. Iginla J.
27. Gustafson J.
11. Koch C.
37. Hoy D.
6. McCloskey L.
3. Jacobson C.
43. McNeil B.
2. Laliberte A.
12. Olson B.
18. McDonough K. (A)
20. Oreskovic J. (A)
24. McLaughlin W.
17. Parr C.
7. Spehar S.
28. Pawlenchuk J.
19. St. Louis J.
27. Preston M. (A)
81. Toyne T.
8. Thurston D. (C)
96. Wilfley L. (A)
13. Tomik T.
Substitutes
32. Chase C. (G)
31. Bryks O. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
00:26, 1 - 0, St. Louis J. (G), McDonough K. (A), Grumley S. (A2)
05:39, 2 - 0, Duguay J. (G), McDonough K. (A),
13:24, 2 - 1, Iginla J. (G), Olson B. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:10, 3 - 1, Grumley S. (G), Duguay J. (A),
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th in the Promotion - WHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - WHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 3.
Portland has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Vancouver is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Portland may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
Vancouver is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Portland has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 82:54 (averaging 4.1:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Portland against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 46:27 goals (averaging 4.6:2.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Portland Winterhawks - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.47%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.