Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: CHANCE LIGA - ROUND 51

Date: 27 February 2023, Monday

Location: RT TORAX ARENA (Ostrava)


	Poruba		Šumperk

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.5	8
	1.22	6.5	7.5
	1.17	7.5	9
	1.16	7.6	9.22
	1.15	7	8.5
	1.16	8	11
	1.12	7.8	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.5)	7.27 ↑ (4.85)	9.46 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poruba
77.8%

Draw
12.5%

Šumperk
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

18.9%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

19.2%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poruba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poruba's performance.

Šumperk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Šumperk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poruba than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poruba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šumperk than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Šumperk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Poruba - Šumperk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Poruba is Qualified for Chance Liga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Šumperk is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Poruba won 4.

Recent matches Poruba is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Šumperk has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Poruba is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 33 head-to-head matches Poruba won 23 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 131-101.

Including matches at home between the teams Poruba won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 68-45.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC RT Torax Poruba
Czech Maxa Liga
25.02.23	Poruba - Frýdek-Místek	4:2 ✺
22.02.23	Pardubice B - Poruba	5:4 OT ✺
18.02.23	Poruba - Kolín	5:2 ✺
15.02.23	Třebíč - Poruba	5:3 ✺
13.02.23	Poruba - Slavia Prague	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW
- Hokej Šumperk 2003
Czech Maxa Liga
25.02.23	Šumperk - Kolín	0:3 ✺
22.02.23	Frýdek-Místek - Šumperk	6:3 ✺
18.02.23	Šumperk - Slavia Prague	4:5 penalties ✺
15.02.23	ZUBR Přerov - Šumperk	8:5 ✺
13.02.23	Šumperk - Jestřábi Prostějov	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Maxa Liga
14.01.23	Šumperk - Poruba	1:6
30.11.22	Poruba - Šumperk	4:3 OT
15.10.22	Šumperk - Poruba	2:5
08.01.22	Poruba - Šumperk	6:4
03.11.21	Šumperk - Poruba	6:5 OT
11.09.21	Poruba - Šumperk	2:3 penalties
20.01.21	Šumperk - Poruba	1:3

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