Match Info

Maxa liga - Round 44

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: RT TORAX ARENA (Ostrava)


	Poruba		Piráti Chomutov

	1	X	2
	1.76	4.15	3.4	Watch
	1.81	4.07	3.41
	1.81	4.27	3.54	Watch
	1.76	4.15	3.48
	1.76	4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.72)	4.13 ↓ (4.51)	3.45 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poruba
51.3%

Draw
22.1%

Piráti Chomutov
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

20.6%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

21.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poruba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Piráti Chomutov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poruba than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piráti Chomutov than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Poruba - Piráti Chomutov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Kavan J. (G)	34. Vay A. (G)
71. Bartko J.	7. Krutil M.
24. Bialy S.	21. Balaz O.
33. Toman R.	49. Coskey C. (A)
22. Roman O. (C)	15. Chlan P. (A)
27. Kotala J.	29. Gajda P.
Line 2
4. Prcik M.	19. Kaderavek P.
12. Zurek J.	96. Hejda T.
43. Gres T.	18. Tuma M.
23. Vachovec M. (A)	14. Helt F.
72. Berisha A.	22. Kana J.
Line 3
16. Sedlak A.	16. Jenacek S.
90. Jezek A. (A)	4. Havel R.
10. Gegeris E.	71. Kratochvil P.
15. Soustal T.	12. Forsblom K.
41. Razgals F.	27. Badinka D.
Line 4
55. Jerabek R.	26. Zizka T.
98. Pribyl M.	58. Ulrych P. (C)
25. Mikyska J.	70. Hlavacek T.
97. Sloboda M.	20. Koblizek T.
	75. Havelka M.
Substitutes
21. Blaha O. (G)	30. Jekel P. (G)
17. Zduba J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
08:54, 1 - 0, Gres T. (G),
19:45, 2 - 0, Pribyl M. (G), Mikyska J. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
09:36, 2 - 1, Badinka D. (G), Kaderavek P. (A), Forsblom K. (A2)
16:53, 2 - 2, Coskey C. (G), Kratochvil P. (A), Chlan P. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
02:07, 2 - 3, Gajda P. (G), Kana J. (A), Forsblom K. (A2)
15:07, 3 - 3, Mikyska J. (G),
18:26, 3 - 4, Gajda P. (G), Forsblom K. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poruba won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Poruba could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Poruba will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Poruba won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 39:39. (average 3:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Poruba won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 4.2:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	Chomutov	12	3	0	2	7	30:40	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC RT Torax Poruba
Czech Maxa Liga
27.01.26	Poruba - Piráti Chomutov	2:4 ✺
24.01.26	ZUBR Přerov - Poruba	2:3 ✺
21.01.26	Frýdek-Místek - Poruba	1:2 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Poruba - Vsetín	3:2 OT ✺
14.01.26	Kolín - Poruba	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWL
- Piráti Chomutov
Czech Maxa Liga
27.01.26	Poruba - Piráti Chomutov	2:4 ✺
24.01.26	Piráti Chomutov - Vsetín	2:7 ✺
21.01.26	Kolín - Piráti Chomutov	4:0 ✺
17.01.26	Piráti Chomutov - Pardubice B	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Baník Sokolov - Piráti Chomutov	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Maxa Liga
27.01.26	Poruba - Piráti Chomutov	2:4
12.12.25	Piráti Chomutov - Poruba	2:1
24.09.25	Piráti Chomutov - Poruba	5:1
19.01.25	Piráti Chomutov - Poruba	0:3
04.12.24	Poruba - Piráti Chomutov	10:2
21.10.24	Piráti Chomutov - Poruba	4:3
14.09.24	Poruba - Piráti Chomutov	2:1 OT

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