The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Piráti Chomutov 37.9%
Draw 22.3%
Pardubice B 39.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.5%
22.2%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
23.2%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piráti Chomutov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Pardubice B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piráti Chomutov than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice B than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pardubice B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Piráti Chomutov - Pardubice B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Malek R. (G)
50. Vondras J. (G)
25. Pinkas M.
23. Chabada O.
15. Zovinec D. (C)
29. Kolar J. (A)
49. Coskey C.
98. Kusy D.
79. Hanzl M.
61. Rakos D. (A)
75. Redlich S.
15. Formanek F.
Line 2
12. Beran V.
7. Nedbal K. (C)
74. Baranek M.
11. Vapenik T.
28. Sprynar J.
87. Kaluzik T.
22. Prikryl R. (A)
93. Hauser P.
71. Boucher E.
22. Kaplan R.
Line 3
14. Konvalinka A.
12. Tvrdik V.
16. Matai J.
53. Vozenilek M.
10. Bares A.
67. Macek V.
17. Eret P.
51. Fiala A.
89. Blaha O.
62. Pekar M.
Line 4
55. Matejicek M.
80. Rajek S.
18. Tuma M. (A)
4. Pavlata D.
23. Svoboda M.
71. Yevtiekhov O.
66. Svoboda T.
66. Stepanek J.
Substitutes
36. Sterba D. (G)
33. Matecha L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
00:15, 1 - 0, Hanzl M. (G), Redlich S. (A), Zovinec D. (A2)
07:31, 1 - 1, Chabada O. (G), Kusy D. (A),
15:34, 1 - 2, Pekar M. (G), Nedbal K. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:02, 2 - 2, Boucher E. (G), Coskey C. (A), Hanzl M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:36, 3 - 2, Eret P. (G), Bares A. (A),
10:53, 3 - 3, Macek V. (G), Tvrdik V. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Kusy D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Bares A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kaluzik T. (Penalty Shot),
2, Coskey C. (Penalty Shot),
3, Hauser P. (Penalty Shot),
3, Hanzl M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Macek V. (Penalty Shot),
4, Eret P. (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chomutov won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Chomutov (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Pardubice B shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Pardubice B in today's match, at odds of 2.34.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Chomutov has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:25 (averaging 2.8:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chomutov against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:10 goals (averaging 2.5:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Pardubice B
18
11
3
0
4
62:46
39
14
Chomutov
18
3
1
3
11
50:75
14
Last Results with these Odds
Piráti Chomutov - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.55%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Pardubice B - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.29%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.