Match Info

NMHL

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Progress Glazov		Gvardiya Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	2.24	4.15	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.23)	4.15 ↓ (4.2)	2.38 (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progress Glazov
40.3%

Draw
21.8%

Gvardiya Krasnodar
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

21.5%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

22.8%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progress Glazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Gvardiya Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progress Glazov than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gvardiya Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Progress Glazov - Gvardiya Krasnodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 3)
00:18, 0 - 1, Frukalov A. (G), Petrushenko D. (A),
05:29, 1 - 1, Borodinov I. (G), Kurteev K. (A), Nigmatullin R. (A2)
07:44, 2 - 1, Savin V. (G), Fedorov M. (A), Matveyev D. (A2)
14:46, 2 - 2, Mukhamedyarov A. (G),
18:10, 2 - 3, Klimanov R. (G), Aminov E. (A), Krdzhonyan Y. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
06:34, 3 - 3, Nigmatullin R. (G), Aristov L. (A),
08:00, 4 - 3, Borodinov I. (G),
19:06, 4 - 4, Klimanov R. (G),
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:03, 5 - 4, Savin V. (G),

Preview

Progress Glazov is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Progress Glazov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gvardiya has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Progress Glazov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Progress Glazov has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Progress Glazov will win today's game, with odds of 2.23.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Progress Glazov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 2.8:4.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Progress Glazov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 2.3:5.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Progress Glazov
RHL
16.03.26	Progress Glazov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	1:5 ✺
12.03.26	Progress Glazov - Proton Novovoronezh	9:2 ✺
11.03.26	Progress Glazov - Proton Novovoronezh	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Progress Glazov - Bobrov	0:8 ✺
07.03.26	Progress Glazov - Bobrov	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWLW
- Gvardiya Krasnodar
RHL
16.03.26	Progress Glazov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	1:5 ✺
14.03.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	6:1 ✺
13.03.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	6:3 ✺
05.03.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Tambov	1:4 ✺
04.03.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Tambov	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
16.03.26	Progress Glazov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	1:5
24.02.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Progress Glazov	3:4
22.12.24	Progress Glazov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	4:5 penalties
21.12.24	Progress Glazov - Gvardiya Krasnodar	2:6

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