Match Info

SWEDEN: SHL

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Catena Arena (Ängelholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3


	Rögle		Modo

	1	X	2
	1.77	4.5	3.8
	1.77	4.35	3.8	Watch
	1.75	3.97	3.99
	1.73	4.41	3.9	Watch
	1.67	4.2	3.6
	1.75	4.35	3.84	Watch
	1.77	4.35	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)	4.3 ↓ (4.5)	3.82 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rögle
53.7%

Draw
21.8%

Modo
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

21.1%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

20.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rögle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Modo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Rögle - Modo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rögle will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
75. Holm A. (G)	30. Lehtinen L. (G)
3. Kapla M.	27. Norlinder M.
51. Sjalin C.	6. LaDue P.
8. Sandin L.	92. Olofsson J.
12. Ferguson B. (A)	32. Niederbach T.
18. Everberg D. (C)	38. Sodergran J.
Line 2
58. Johansson F.	40. Bernhardt D.
16. Ekestahl-Jonsson L.	2. Rundblad D. (C)
20. Blichfeld J.	24. Carlsson M.
23. Dickinson J.	25. Vigneault S. (A)
67. Bristedt L. (A)	29. Aagaard M.
Line 3
77. Pettersson J.	23. Winberg T.
45. Biber G.	51. Berglund V.
62. Horky L.	10. Ranta S.
28. Bengtsson A.	86. Jasek L.
52. Nilsson F.	19. Pettersson L.
Line 4
24. Goransson M.	7. Nasen P.
21. Bowlby H.	36. Ohlsson S. (A)
27. Sjodin L.	11. True A.
37. Sundsvik A.	12. Pettersson O.
Substitutes
65. Rifalk C. (G)	31. Eriksson Ek O. (G)
32. Solberg I.
Coaches
. Hansson R.	. Karlin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
05:06, 0 - 1, Rundblad D. (G), Carlsson M. (A),
12:17, 1 - 1, Horky L. (G), Bengtsson A. (A),
14:00, Sodergran J. (2 min),
14:55, 2 - 1, Everberg D. (G), Bengtsson A. (A), Bristedt L. (A2)
15:47, Horky L. (2 min),
15:47, Carlsson M. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
13:00, Horky L. (Penalty Shot),
15:56, Everberg D. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:24, 2 - 2, Jasek L. (G), Bernhardt D. (A),
02:43, Norlinder M. (5 min),
05:15, Everberg D. (2 min),
11:17, Biber G. (2 min),
17:34, Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (2 min),
18:42, Sodergran J. (2 min),
18:42, Sodergran J. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Ranta S. (Penalty Shot),
1, Bengtsson A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Aagaard M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Blichfeld J. (Penalty Shot),
3, True A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Sandin L. (Penalty Shot),
4, Aagaard M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Blichfeld J. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13 in the zone SHL (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rögle won 4.

Rögle is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Modo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Rögle is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rögle to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Rögle won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 29:37 (average 1.8:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Rögle won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:14 (average 2.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Modo - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 26.06%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rögle BK
SHL
27.02.25	Växjö Lakers - Rögle	3:5 ✺
25.02.25	Rögle - HV71	4:1 ✺
22.02.25	Skellefteå - Rögle	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Luleå - Rögle	4:3 penalties ✺
15.02.25	Rögle - Färjestad	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWLW
- Modo Hockey
SHL
27.02.25	Malmö Redhawks - Modo	0:3 ✺
25.02.25	Modo - Örebro	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Modo - Brynäs	1:4 ✺
20.02.25	Leksand - Modo	3:2 ✺
15.02.25	Modo - Leksand	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
09.01.25	Modo - Rögle	5:1
31.10.24	Rögle - Modo	4:3 OT
24.10.24	Modo - Rögle	1:2
12.03.24	Rögle - Modo	1:0 OT
06.01.24	Modo - Rögle	1:5
02.12.23	Rögle - Modo	0:2
28.09.23	Modo - Rögle	2:1

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