Match Info

SHL - Round 7

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Catena Arena (Ängelholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen


	Rögle		HV71

	1	X	2
	1.61	5	4.25
	1.83	4.20	3.50
	1.72	4.3	4.3	Watch
	1.65	4.01	4.64
	1.65	4.51	4.21	Watch
	1.61	3.9	4.5
	1.65	4.6	4.19	Watch
	1.62	4.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.75)	4.37 ↑ (4.2)	4.21 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rögle
56.2%

Draw
21.5%

HV71
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

22.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

23.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rögle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

HV71 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rögle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HV71 than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Rögle - HV71 Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Rögle will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
75. Holm A. (G)	60. Sandstrom F. (G)
4. Clurman N.	8. Lagerberg L.
44. de Haan C. (A)	55. Borgman A. (A)
62. Horky L.	91. Heponiemi A.
22. Olofsson F. (A)	28. Kloos J. (A)
94. Koblar T.	84. Regenda P.
Line 2
95. Friedman M.	38. Alsing O. (C)
7. Claesson L.	82. Hatakka S.
8. Sandin L.	41. Woods R.
46. Kellman J.	16. Lindstrom L.
83. Kuhlman K.	96. Pasic N.
Line 3
6. LaDue P.	78. Gustafsson M.
51. Sjalin C.	44. Fransson H.
18. Everberg D. (C)	27. Ang J.
37. Sundsvik A.	81. Mysak J.
72. Zaar D.	70. Rousek L.
Line 4
5. Kumlin A.	65. Annborn K.
21. Jellvik O.	71. Nilsson W.
41. Zether S.	23. Laz V.
32. Solberg I.	9. Hardman M.
Substitutes
17. Bartholdsson N.	80. Liv H. (G)
70. Clang C. (G)	40. Stal-Lyrenas O.
Coaches
. Tangnes D.	. Eriksson N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
12:17, Zether S. (2 min),
14:49, 1 - 0, Olofsson F. (G), Horky L. (A), de Haan C. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:48, 2 - 0, de Haan C. (G), Zether S. (A), Solberg I. (A2)
06:32, Heponiemi A. (2 min),
11:41, 3 - 0, Kellman J. (G), Friedman M. (A), Sandin L. (A2)
18:02, de Haan C. (2 min),
18:56, Regenda P. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
06:41, Mysak J. (2 min),
07:50, 4 - 0, Horky L. (G), Sjalin C. (A), Koblar T. (A2)
08:49, 4 - 1, Mysak J. (G), Regenda P. (A),
09:08, 4 - 2, Mysak J. (G), Regenda P. (A), Borgman A. (A2)
19:45, 4 - 3, Mysak J. (G), Fransson H. (A), Gustafsson M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Rögle may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Rögle is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Rögle in today's match, at odds of 1.61.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Rögle has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:52 (averaging 2.6:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rögle against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 25:22 goals (averaging 2.8:2.4 per game).

Outrights of SHL for now

Rogle: 10.27% HV 71: 1.93%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Rogle	7	3	1	0	3	18:15	11
13	HV 71	7	0	2	1	4	21:27	5

Last Results with these Odds

HV71 - the odds 3.9 are the expected chance of winning is 24.05%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rögle BK
Champions League Ice Hockey
06.10.26	Rögle - Davos	3:2 ✺
SHL
03.10.26	Växjö Lakers - Rögle	3:2 ✺
01.10.26	Rögle - Timrå	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	Rögle - Linköping	2:1 OT ✺
24.09.26	Färjestad - Rögle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWL
- HV71
SHL
03.10.26	Färjestad - HV71	3:1 ✺
01.10.26	HV71 - Örebro	2:1 AET ✺
29.09.26	Björklöven - HV71	4:2 ✺
26.09.26	Växjö Lakers - HV71	7:5 ✺
24.09.26	HV71 - Skellefteå	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	HV71 - Rögle	2:3 penalties
SHL
19.02.26	Rögle - HV71	3:4 penalties
28.12.25	Rögle - HV71	3:1
25.10.25	HV71 - Rögle	0:5
18.10.25	HV71 - Rögle	2:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
06.09.25	HV71 - Rögle	3:2
30.08.25	Rögle - HV71	2:3

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