Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Eisarena Salzburg (Salzburg)

Referee: Ofner C. (Aut) - Nikolic M. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Red Bull Salzburg		Stavanger Oilers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.56	4.9	4.2
	1.58	5.16	3.65
	1.6	4.5	3.6
	1.56	4.75	4.6	Watch
	1.63	4.8	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.96)	4.82 ↑ (4.2)	4.05 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
58.1%

Draw
19.1%

Stavanger Oilers
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

22%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

23.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Salzburg's performance.

Stavanger Oilers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stavanger Oilers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Salzburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stavanger Oilers than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stavanger Oilers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Red Bull Salzburg - Stavanger Oilers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Red Bull Salzburg has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Stavanger is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stavanger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Red Bull Salzburg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Red Bull Salzburg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Red Bull Salzburg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Red Bull Salzburg
Champions League Ice Hockey
07.09.23	Red Bull Salzburg - ERC Ingolstadt	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Adler Mannheim - Red Bull Salzburg	3:2 ✺
01.09.23	Skellefteå - Red Bull Salzburg	4:0 ✺
Red Bulls Salute
27.08.23	Red Bull Salzburg - ZSC Lions	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Red Bull Salzburg - HIFK	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Stavanger Oilers
Champions League Ice Hockey
07.09.23	Pardubice - Stavanger Oilers	5:1 ✺
02.09.23	Stavanger Oilers - Växjö Lakers	6:7 penalties ✺
31.08.23	Stavanger Oilers - Färjestad	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
23.08.23	Frisk Tigers - Stavanger Oilers	2:6 ✺
19.08.23	Stavanger Oilers - EC KAC	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Ice Hockey
09.09.22	Stavanger Oilers - Red Bull Salzburg	2:3 penalties
01.09.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Stavanger Oilers	3:2 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
12.08.15	Red Bull Salzburg - Stavanger Oilers	8:0
16.08.14	Red Bull Salzburg - Stavanger Oilers	5:0

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