Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Winners stage

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Eisarena Salzburg (Salzburg) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	19:15	Valcome TV


	Red Bull Salzburg 2		Asiago

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.02	3.85	2.75	Watch
	1.99	4.08	2.79
	2	4.21	2.86	Watch
	1.95	4	2.8
	2	4.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.01)	4.06 ↓ (4.07)	2.8 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg 2
45.4%

Draw
22.3%

Asiago
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

22.3%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

23.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Asiago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg 2 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asiago than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Asiago Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Haitzmann L. (G)	1. Rigoni R. (G)
22. Baumann F.	4. Gios G.
21. Warnecke M.	17. Casetti L.
24. Lanzinger F.	10. Parco A.
10. Juhola J.	18. Johnson C.
43. Eliseev M.	91. Rigoni A.
Line 2
19. Lemke P.	63. Bellini S.
18. Schnabl J.	21. Calisti R.
26. Bloch N.	9. Valentini R.
15. Gesson A.	37. Chiodo L.
25. Schuster P.	71. Porco N.
Line 3
20. Kirchebner M.	89. Rigoni F.
23. Schroth M.	44. Parini G.
11. Oberhauser P.	61. Garau N.
14. Maul N.	88. Traversa T.
12. Kogler L.	19. Rigoni F.
Line 4
28. Hackert M.	41. Forte M.
27. Korhonen N.	29. Nitz R.
35. Sladkovs D.	16. Stevan M.
8. Kaufmann J.	47. Marcazzan G.
Substitutes
31. Haim M. (G)	31. Santangelo R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
19:19, 0 - 1, Traversa T. (G), Rigoni F. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:34, 0 - 2, Valentini R. (G), Chiodo L. (A),
05:02, 1 - 2, Kogler L. (G), Kirchebner M. (A), Oberhauser P. (A2)
12:01, 1 - 3, Chiodo L. (G), Valentini R. (A), Calisti R. (A2)
3rd Period (6 - 1)
01:53, 2 - 3, Kogler L. (G), Maul N. (A), Kirchebner M. (A2)
02:07, 3 - 3, Maul N. (G), Oberhauser P. (A), Kirchebner M. (A2)
04:43, 4 - 3, Maul N. (G), Kogler L. (A), Warnecke M. (A2)
07:06, 5 - 3, Schuster P. (G), Gesson A. (A), Bloch N. (A2)
08:28, 6 - 3, Juhola J. (G), Schnabl J. (A), Lanzinger F. (A2)
12:06, 6 - 4, Garau N. (G), Parco A. (A), Traversa T. (A2)
19:41, 7 - 4, Juhola J. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salzburg 2 won 3.

In recent matches, Salzburg 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Asiago is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Asiago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Salzburg 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Salzburg 2 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 44:58. (average 2.8:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Salzburg 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:25. (average 1.7:3.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
2	Asiago	14	8	3	0	1	2	67:46	31
8	Salzburg 2	14	4	1	0	1	8	28:49	15

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Salzburg 2 - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.24%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Red Bull Salzburg 2
Alps Hockey League
03.03.26	Zell am See - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:1 ✺
25.02.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Sisak	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Vipiteno - Red Bull Salzburg 2	1:3 ✺
19.02.26	Asiago - Red Bull Salzburg 2	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Vipiteno	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW
- AS Asiago Hockey
Alps Hockey League
03.03.26	Sisak - Asiago	4:7 ✺
28.02.26	Asiago - Vipiteno	5:3 ✺
21.02.26	Zell am See - Asiago	5:2 ✺
19.02.26	Asiago - Red Bull Salzburg 2	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Vipiteno - Asiago	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
19.02.26	Asiago - Red Bull Salzburg 2	2:1
22.01.26	Asiago - Red Bull Salzburg 2	6:5 OT
25.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Asiago	7:5
27.09.25	Asiago - Red Bull Salzburg 2	2:7
08.01.22	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Asiago	2:1
22.09.21	Asiago - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:2
20.02.21	Asiago - Red Bull Salzburg 2	2:3

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