Match Info

VHL

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov)


	Rostov		Omskie Krylia

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.62	1.69
	3.77	4.35	1.75	Watch
	3.05	3.95	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (4.26)	4.31 ↑ (4.1)	1.79 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
26.4%

Draw
21.6%

Omskie Krylia
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

22.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

22.6%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Omskie Krylia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omskie Krylia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Rostov - Omskie Krylia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kapustin K. (G)	79. Kiselyov Y. (G)
62. Dimitrov N.	42. Petrishchev R. (C)
11. Tsalpanov Y.	75. Yegorov A.
27. Kalmykov D. (C)	88. Stepanov Y.
21. Sergiyevsky Y.	47. Loktev A.
8. Sokolov D.	11. Anokhovsky N.
Line 2
94. Voronin N.	57. Pavlikov M.
49. Balanov Y. (A)	36. Myasishchev I. (A)
26. Urulin S. (A)	97. Kozhukhov I.
25. Sedantsov O.	95. Pochivalov D.
9. Myagkov V.	86. Kozhukhov Y.
Line 3
5. Makarov S.	82. Murylev A.
6. Gapochkin R.	59. Naumenko
64. Sorokin S.	66. Andreyev S.
7. Galushkin A.	91. Protapovich A. (A)
98. Levinsky A.	93. Malov V.
Line 4
19. Vasilyev I. M.	71. Golodnyuk E.
15. Kuznetsov A.	22. Moiseyev M.
23. Kamensky Y.	8. Nikolenko L.
17. Smolyov I.	25. Zlodeyev D.
	44. Kozhevnikov K.
Substitutes
70. Petkilev Y. (G)	94. Yaroslavlev Y. (G)
20. Puzyakov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
03:06, 0 - 1, Nikolenko L. (G), Kozhevnikov K. (A),
17:34, 0 - 2, Stepanov Y. (G), Anokhovsky N. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
08:07, 0 - 3, Nikolenko L. (G), Kozhevnikov K. (A), Yegorov A. (A2)
09:14, 1 - 3, Sokolov D. (G), Kalmykov D. (A), Sergiyevsky Y. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
11:33, 1 - 4, Andreyev S. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 4.

In recent matches, Rostov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Omskie Krylia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Omskie Krylia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rostov has had a series of away games.

Recently, Omskie Krylia has had a series of home games.

Omskie Krylia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 4:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
26.09.25	Buran Voronezh - Rostov	4:5 ✺
21.09.25	Dynamo-Altay - Rostov	3:4 ✺
19.09.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rostov	3:2 ✺
17.09.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Rostov	2:1 OT ✺
14.09.25	Norilsk - Rostov	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLLL
- Omskie Krylia
VHL
03.10.25	Tambov - Omskie Krylia	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Omskie Krylia - Dynamo-Altay	4:0 ✺
26.09.25	Omskie Krylia - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:4 OT ✺
23.09.25	Omskie Krylia - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:2 ✺
21.09.25	Omskie Krylia - Norilsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
13.12.24	Rostov - Omskie Krylia	7:2
03.12.24	Omskie Krylia - Rostov	3:5
27.12.23	Omskie Krylia - Rostov	2:4
15.10.23	Rostov - Omskie Krylia	2:4
30.01.23	Omskie Krylia - Rostov	3:4
23.09.22	Rostov - Omskie Krylia	3:4 penalties
10.12.21	Rostov - Omskie Krylia	4:2

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