Match Info

Ligue Magnus - Round 37

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Patinoire de l'Île Lacroix (Rouen)


	Rouen		Nice

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.3	5.7	6.4
	1.32	4.68	5.22
	1.32	5.61	7.58	Watch
	1.32	5.7	6.07
	1.2	7.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)	5.84 ↑ (5.44)	6.45 ↓ (6.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rouen
70.3%

Draw
15.6%

Nice
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

17.1%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

18.7%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rouen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rouen than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rouen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Rouen - Nice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Carruth M. (G)	31. Shank A. (G)
65. Bouramman G.	9. Cirgues L.
62. Chakiachvili F. (A)	54. Coffy V.
10. Colomban R.	72. Coulaud L.
72. Gresock C.	27. Desgagnes M.
2. Holway P.	93. Johansson R.
13. Lafrance S.	73. Larinmaa J.
27. Lamperier L. (C)	19. Lefebvre J.
9. Lavoie A.	78. Loizeau T.
6. Nesa V.	91. McKinney H.
11. Perret T.	82. Morillon C.
18. Rech A.	17. Mugnier J.
94. Regush M.	92. Nobes A.
5. Roy P.	98. Nogaretto H.
7. Schmitt C.	25. Proux H.
21. Simonsen T.	6. Regis S. (A)
36. Tessier J.	10. Rommel H. (A)
91. Vigners R.	22. Ruel N. (C)
8. Yeo D. (A)	11. Toukmatchev M.
Substitutes
29. Mugnier L. (G)	61. Charpentier I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
05:40, 1 - 0, Gresock C. (G), Roy P. (A), Vigners R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
12:57, 2 - 0, Lavoie A. (G), Yeo D. (A), Vigners R. (A2)
16:41, 2 - 1, Regis S. (G), Nogaretto H. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
17:01, 2 - 2, Ruel N. (G),
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:00, 3 - 2, Lafrance S. (G), Rech A. (A), Chakiachvili F. (A2)

Preview

Rouen is Qualified for Ligue Magnus (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rouen won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rouen is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rouen won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 81:42. (average 4.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rouen won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 43:19. (average 4.3:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Rouen	9	6	1	0	2	29:15	20
6	Nice	9	4	1	1	3	31:28	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dragons de Rouen
French Ligue Magnus
27.01.26	Spartiates de Marseille - Rouen	0:5 ✺
25.01.26	Briançon - Rouen	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Rouen - Briançon	1:2 penalties ✺
20.01.26	Rouen - Chamonix	5:1 ✺
13.01.26	Rouen - Bordeaux	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWW
- Nice Hockey Côte dAzur
French Ligue Magnus
27.01.26	Nice - Anglet	3:2 ✺
23.01.26	Angers - Nice	5:3 ✺
20.01.26	Nice - Bordeaux	5:4 penalties ✺
16.01.26	Amiens - Nice	2:3 OT ✺
13.01.26	Nice - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
23.12.25	Nice - Rouen	2:5
14.11.25	Nice - Rouen	1:4
03.10.25	Rouen - Nice	4:3 penalties
21.02.25	Rouen - Nice	4:2
05.11.24	Nice - Rouen	4:3
06.10.24	Nice - Rouen	2:0
22.09.24	Rouen - Nice	3:1

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