Match Info

VHL

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Sports Palace (Tyumen)


	Rubin Tyumen		Toros Neftekamsk

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.71	3.64
	1.84	4.14	3.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.02)	3.93 ↑ (3.7)	3.59 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Tyumen
50.5%

Draw
23.6%

Toros Neftekamsk
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

25.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

24.6%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Rubin Tyumen - Toros Neftekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)	49. Braginsky D. (G)
11. Popov Y.	89. Shcherbakov N.
12. Lyutov D.	85. Budnitsky V. (A)
53. Voevodin D.	56. Suvorov A.
10. Petrakov I.	97. Kuzmin G.
80. Koshurnikov K.	24. Andreichenko V.
Line 2
28. Tsyganov D.	86. Volkov D.
55. Stikhanovsky M.	46. Yelsukov F.
27. Davydov D.	38. Skoropad N.
9. Ivanov S.	25. Valeyev T.
23. Lazarev M.	88. Fedotov I.
Line 3
7. Brinkmann A.	33. Agafonov M.
93. Vashchenko N.	4. Chebotaryov V. (C)
78. Meshkov P.	10. Kolesnikov S.
57. Kanitsky Y.	81. Volokitin P. (A)
8. Bryutov N.	17. Sychyov V.
Line 4
24. Kolganov I.	52. Kolganov A.
66. Piliya D.	3. Shatilo I.
85. Styozhkin I.	80. Galiyev E.
3. Ivanov Y. D.	72. Zavizhsky M.
	28. Akhsyanov B.
Substitutes
1. Gromovik Y. (G)	1. Yelin I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:42, 0 - 1, Kuzmin G. (G), Suvorov A. (A), Andreichenko V. (A2)
17:16, 1 - 1, Koshurnikov K. (G), Meshkov P. (A), Stikhanovsky M. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
12:46, 2 - 1, Stikhanovsky M. (G), Tsyganov D. (A),
18:52, 3 - 1, Styozhkin I. (G), Ivanov Y. D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:43, 3 - 2, Fedotov I. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Rubin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rubin might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Rubin will win today's game, with odds of 1.85.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 65:40. (average 3.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Rubin Tyumen - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.34%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
17.11.25	Rubin Tyumen - Molot Perm	3:2 penalties ✺
15.11.25	Rubin Tyumen - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:3 penalties ✺
09.11.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Rubin Tyumen	4:1 ✺
07.11.25	Chelmet - Rubin Tyumen	3:4 penalties ✺
05.11.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWL
- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
17.11.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Toros Neftekamsk	4:0 ✺
12.11.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Buran Voronezh	3:4 ✺
10.11.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Rostov	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Tambov	2:3 penalties ✺
03.11.25	Dynamo-Altay - Toros Neftekamsk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
02.03.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:4
20.09.24	Rubin Tyumen - Toros Neftekamsk	4:5 OT
15.12.23	Toros Neftekamsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:3
25.10.23	Rubin Tyumen - Toros Neftekamsk	5:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
11.08.23	Rubin Tyumen - Toros Neftekamsk	4:3
VHL
13.01.23	Rubin Tyumen - Toros Neftekamsk	1:0
11.10.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:3 OT

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