The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toros Neftekamsk 44.1%
Draw 24.4%
Tambov 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
24.6%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.3%
23.5%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toros Neftekamsk's form might have worsened.
Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tambov's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toros Neftekamsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tambov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toros Neftekamsk - Tambov Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 4.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
49. Braginsky D. (G)
22. Korolev T. (G)
9. Orlov G.
62. Lugovyak S.
85. Budnitsky V. (A)
26. Yershov I.
10. Kolesnikov S.
37. Baranov Y.
81. Volokitin P. (A)
17. Samsonov D.
24. Andreichenko V.
10. Tochilkin A.
Line 2
86. Volkov K.
45. Yanevsky S.
4. Chebotaryov V. (C)
28. Bulychyov G.
56. Suvorov A.
86. Kopyltsov S.
37. Zagrebin M.
96. Pyanov E.
88. Fedotov I.
49. Smirnov Y.
Line 3
89. Shcherbakov N.
72. Vasin I. (C)
52. Kolganov A.
24. Mamkin M. (A)
94. Petrenko D.
74. Zhabreyev A.
17. Sychyov V.
87. Gorbunov Y.
14. Chyorny A.
27. Andriyanov A.
Line 4
76. Pykhtin D.
65. Nikiforov D.
3. Shatilo I.
93. Yermakov I.
80. Galiyev E.
71. Koltygin P. (A)
72. Zavizhsky M.
84. Nizovkin M.
38. Skoropad N.
Substitutes
1. Yelin I. (G)
98. Smirnov A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
09:29, 1 - 0, Skoropad N. (G), Budnitsky V. (A),
10:40, 1 - 1, Nizovkin M. (G), Koltygin P. (A), Yermakov I. (A2)
12:34, 1 - 2, Kopyltsov S. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:59, 2 - 2, Suvorov A. (G), Chyorny A. (A), Fedotov I. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Kolesnikov S. (Penalty Shot),
1, Tochilkin A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Fedotov I. (Penalty Shot),
2, Koltygin P. (Penalty Shot),
3, Suvorov A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Samsonov D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Chyorny A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Gorbunov Y. (Penalty Shot),
5, Zagrebin M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Smirnov Y. (Penalty Shot),
6, Gorbunov Y. (Penalty Shot),
6, Sychyov V. (Penalty Shot),
7, Gorbunov Y. (Penalty Shot),
7, Sychyov V. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros won 2.
Recent performances by Toros have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tambov is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Toros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Toros has had a series of away games.
Toros might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Toros will win today's game, with odds of 2.09.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toros won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 2.5:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Toros won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 2.7:2.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Toros Neftekamsk - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.92%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Braginsky D. (G) 
Suvorov A. 
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